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More Taxes, More Spending, Nothing Resolved

If there is one area that government has been unquestionably successful in over the past several decades, it has been in collecting revenue.  Despite stagnant wages and a moribund economy, the dollars keep rolling in to both Washington and state capitals.

Taxrevenue.com estimates that the “direct revenue” collected in fiscal year 2016 breaks down as follows:  Approximately $3.3 trillion went to Washington, $1.9 trillion to the states, and $1.4 trillion to local governments. Combined, all that totals $6.6 trillion.

The U.S. Census Bureau reported after last year’s April 15 tax day headline that “State government tax revenue increased 2.2 percent, from $847.1 billion in fiscal year 2013 to $865.8 billion in 2014, the fourth consecutive increase… General sales and gross receipts taxes drove most of the revenue growth, increasing from $258.9 billion to $271.3 billion, or 4.8 percent. Severance taxes (levies imposed on removal of natural resources) increased 6.0 percent, from $16.8 billion to $17.8 billion, and motor fuel taxes increased 3.4 percent, from $40.1 billion to $41.5 billion.”

On the federal side, A Freebeacon analysis  reports, “since 1998, tax revenues have increased 30 percent.” In FY 2015, Washington took in approximately $3.3 trillion.

For all that increased revenue, however, Americans have gained very little. Some salient examples:  Social Security remains headed for insolvency. Government pensions are underfunded.  The poverty rate remains virtually unchanged since the War on Poverty began in the 1960’s. In the face of massive new threats from Russia, China, Iran, North Korea and terrorists, the Pentagon has endured substantial cuts.  Infrastructure needs go unmet, with bridges, highways, water systems and other key elements in disrepair. NASA can’t put an astronaut in space other than by hitchhiking on a foreign craft.

And, of course, there is the debt and the deficit.  The federal debt has skyrocketed by over $8 trillion during the Obama Administration, soaring from $10,626,877,048,913 on the day he was first inaugurated to $18,722,746,583,118 currently.
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A CNS News study  found that “the portion of the federal government’s debt that is held by the public…has more than doubled during President Barack Obama’s time in office” up by 113.8 percent.

Although the states, more restricted in their ability to engage in deficit spending, (they can’t print money like Washington) have been more stable than the national government, they too face challenges. The Mercatus organization notes that “there are troubling signs that many states are still ignoring the risks on their books, mainly in underfunded pensions and health care benefits. Even states that appear to be fiscally robust—perhaps owing to large amounts of cash on hand or revenue streams from natural resources—must take stock of their long-term fiscal health before making future public policy decisions.”

Despite all the increased revenue Washington and the states have consumed, and their lack of success in using it to balance their books or improve conditions, there are proposals to increase taxes even more.

A Tax Policy Center  analysis concludes that Bernie Sanders’ tax proposals would increase taxes by $15.3 trillion over the next decade. The Center also concludes that Clinton’s tax plan “would generate $1 trillion in additional revenue for the government over the first decade and an additional $2 trillion over the next 20 years.” The Sanders and Clinton tax increase plans apparently are not aimed at paying down the debt or addressing the many needs noted above.  Rather, they seek to finance new spending programs, including, depending on the candidate, high ticket items such as free college, universal health insurance, or continuing the massive increase in entitlements (such as food stamps) that have been the hallmark of the Obama tenure in office.  That leaves all those essential areas, including social security, defense, infrastructure, still facing massive solvency challenges.

In contrast, the Republican candidates look to cut taxes, but critics note that they don’t provide adequate details on how the lost revenue would be replaced.

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US in Deficit Despite Record Revenue

The United States Treasury’s Bureau of the Fiscal Service   has reported that despite an all-time high revenue intake of $2,663 billion dollars in the first 11 months of Fiscal Year 2014, Washington nevertheless compiled a deficit of $589 billion due to total outlays of $3,253 billion.

It is important to place this in context.  Key national endeavors such as defense have been reduced. Federal hiring to run the government is at an all-time low. Investments in the future, such as NASA, are a fraction of what they were decades ago.

According to a prior year’s USNEWS report ,  “49%  of the entire federal budget goes to entitlement programs… Entitlement spending is the highest in American history… The proportion of Americans taking antipoverty funds has soared…”

USNEWS noted that “The growth of entitlement spending has coincided with an unprecedented decline in the number of working adult men over the last several decades…” According to the Heritage Foundation, the 79 means-tested federal welfare programs cost about a trillion dollars annually.
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The Heritage Foundation’s   senior research fellow Robert Rector notes that these programs increased during President Obama’s first two years in office at a rate two and a half times larger than at any prior period in American history. It’s clear that Obamacare will add dramatically to that figure.

The problem is more than just spending too much, as serious as that challenge is. It’s the fact that these funds are taken out of the productive economy and placed into programs that will not produce jobs or tax revenue in the future—a true downward spiral. If a family spends thousands on a new home, that’s an investment; if it spends thousands on a luxury vacation, that’s just dollars gone forever.

As the New York Analysis of Policy & Budget noted in a prior report, even comparisons with other periods of major increases in government spending aimed at reducing poverty reveal the harmful nature of poverty spending under the current Administration. FDR’s New Deal programs developed infrastructure and provided job skills in programs such as the Civilian Conservation Corps. During the period of 2009 to the present, neither serious employment skills nor infrastructure development resulted from the vast spending increase.