The American political environment may be reaching a mood similar to the 1850’s, when the Republican Party was born, and the Whig Party saw its demise. The policies and practices of the leadership of both Democrat and Republican organizations appear to be drifting away from the beliefs of their membership.
President Obama’s extreme left wing politics, his isolationist and pacifist foreign policy, tolerance towards the Moslem Brotherhood, thinly disguised race baiting, and his anti-U.S. worker advocacy of high taxes, amnesty for illegal immigrants and environmental radicalism disturbs many. Heir apparent Hillary Clinton, co-architect of the utterly failed “reset”with Russia and advocate of “identity” politics is essentially similar in her beliefs.
Several key components of the Democrat formula for electoral success are becoming alienated. Blue collar workers who traditionally tilt towards the Democrats are uncomfortably viewing a landscape in which unemployment remains at a crisis level. Mr. Obama’s hostility towards Israel is beginning to weaken support among Jewish voters. Women are beginning to look askance at the politicization of their children’s education, escalating food prices, and diminished health care.
While Mr. Obama’s popularity as the first black president remains high within inner city voters, his economic and immigration policies have resulted in astronomical rates of unemployment in the black community, as well as the same price hikes that have disturbed all. His personal appeal may not translate into continued overall enthusiasm for other Democrats in 2016.
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Republicans have succeeded when advocating the dominating concepts of strong national defense, low taxes, restrained spending, a strict interpretation of Constitutional rights and procedures, and a more traditional cultural outlook. Many view the GOP’s response to the unprecedented failures of the Obama Administration to be timid and inconsequential, and more concerned with avoiding criticism from the media than in pursuing its beliefs.
There is, indeed, an inexplicable split within the Republican Party between the most vigorous advocates for its traditional positions, frequently identified as theTea Party, and the GOP leadership. Rather than latch onto the enthusiasm of that movement, it has been kept at arms-length. A further split can be observed between those demanding that the dramatic new military threats from Russia, China, Iran and North Korea be met with significant increases in the U.S. defense budget, and those advocating less expensive financing of the Pentagon as part of an overall approach to lowering deficit spending.
Complex election laws make it unlikely that new nationwide parties will spring up. But the organizational and communications abilities derived from new technologies will increasingly allow insurgents to go “over the heads” of party leadership to appeal for support directly from the voters. That same capability will allow temporary coalitions to form in response to specific issues supported by party leaders but opposed by the rank-and-file. In 2000, an unusual coalition of defense hawks, human rights advocates, and union leaders came together unsuccessfully to oppose a trade deal with China, supported by both President Clinton and GOP leaders, that they correctly feared would adversely affect U.S. national security, individual Chinese rights, and the job security of American manufacturing workers. That same opposition could meet with more success today.