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China Expected to Reject Peaceful Resolution of Pacific Dispute

The world’s most dangerous maritime dispute is awaiting a ruling from the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague.China has unlawfully laid claim to almost the entire oceanic area known as the South China Sea, and which the Philippines call the West Philippine Sea.  It encompasses a 1,400,000 square mile region from Singapore and the Malacca Straits to the Strait of Taiwan. A third of the planet’s shipping transits through it, and huge deposits of oil and gas, as well as a wealth of fish, are contained within.The Philippines initiated proceedings against Beijing in accordance with the United Nations Law of the Sea.  International Law would classify maritime features, including hundreds of very small uninhabited spots, many of which are now questionably claimed and some occupied by China’s military, as rocks, low tide elevations, or submerged banks, but not islands, which overturns China’s claims to use those already disputed sites as a way to extend its claims over ocean areas.The Philippines simply seek to have the right to operate within its own exclusive economic zone restored and have access to its key offshore areas without Chinese harassment.China has already stated that it has no intention of abiding by the results, and rejects the jurisdiction of The Hague.  In other related disputes in the area, Beijing has not been cooperative in attempts to negotiate the issue through regional talks, preferring to deal separately with each national claimant, a tactic that allows it to use armed intimidation as an effective tool. China’s General Luo Yuan said his nation should be prepared for “war at all costs” to enforce its claims, according to a commentary posted on china.org.cn.

Writing in the Asia Times   National Security author Bill Gertz writes that “China’s takeover of the South China Sea is nearly complete and Beijing is now stepping up its sophisticated information warfare campaign in preparation for an expected unfavorable ruling from an international tribunal affecting its island claims… The strategic goal of China in the South China Sea is to solidify control over the waters without firing a shot, in much the same way as Russia was able to do with its military annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea in March 2014. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) refers to this as the use of “military soft power.”

During the past several years, unrestrained by a weakened American navy and an irresolute President, China has laid claim to most of the South China Sea region. The basis of China’s claim is what it describes as a “Nine Dash Line,” which, according to U.S. sources,  is “a Chinese map of the South China Sea showing nine line segments that, if connected, would enclose an area covering roughly 90% [of the entire region.] …The area inside the nine line segments far exceeds what is claimable as territorial waters under customary international law of the sea… and includes waters that are within the claimable [and internationally recognized]  (and in some places are quite near the coasts) of the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, and Vietnam.”

Under the Obama Administration, little of substance has been done to discourage China’s aggressive actions.  The White House has refused to side with America’s allies such as the Philippines or Japan when China engaged in provocative actions against those nations. Even as China used force in furtherance of its goals, all the U.S. Administration did was to encourage a “peaceful resolution,” an act which some has said was a betrayal of allies, and a complete denial of the rule of law which objective observers note rejects Beijing’s claims.

President Obama has emphasized what the Administration describes as a “pivot to Asia” of U.S. armed forces, in response to China’s actions.  However, the substance of the pivot involves comparatively little force, since the U.S. navy is now a shadow of its former size, the smallest it has been since before World War 1, and China, in contrast, has dramatically built up the size of its forces.  It now has more submarines than the U.S. Navy, and its fleet will outnumber America’s within four years.  Beijing also has extraordinary new land based weapons, such as the DF-21missile which can destroy American naval vessels at a distance of 900 miles.

The President has concluded agreements with Vietnam as a means to stiffen regional resistance. However, speaking in Hawaii, Mr. Obama denied the deal was aimed at China.

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AMERICAN DISINTEGRATION PART 2: DIPLOMACY

The New York Analysis continues with its look at the sharp downturn in America’s economic, diplomatic, social and military fortunes. Today’s review will examine the area of diplomacy. 

 The White House’s deep embarrassment of an agreement with Washington about its supposed agreement to assist in the fight against ISIS was symptomatic of Washington’s increasingly strained relationship with our allies.  Turkey is a NATO member.

Even the greatest of superpowers requires dependable allies.  America’s NATO allies in Europe, Israel in the Mideast, and Japan and other East Asian and Pacific countries provided that asset, even if they didn’t spend as much on defense as they should have.

Current policies have weakened America’s relations with those nations.  Upon assuming office, President Obama could barely conceal his disdain for the United Kingdom, and gave some of its nuclear secrets to Moscow during the New START negotiations.  He reneged on an anti-ballistic missile agreement with Poland. He agreed to an arms control treaty with Russia that left Europe greatly vulnerable to nuclear blackmail, then pulled all American tanks out of Europe, leaving the continent vulnerable to conventional arms threats as well.

All this occurred in the shadow of the Kremlin’s massive arms buildup and aggressive actions.

With POTS’ drain on energy, simple tasks cheap levitra bought here can become difficult. The development of hairs end entirely, as you age valsonindia.com buy generic cialis and a bald patch is developed by you. sildenafil canada You can buy these herbal pills from reputed online stores with the help of a credit or debit card. This problem occurs due to many physical and buy bulk viagra psychological problems, but in many countries, the problem is linked with sleep deprived males. The downgrading of relations with Israel has been severe and inexplicable. The Jewish state has absorbed thousands of missile attacks against its civilians, and faces threats against its very existence from the same forces that also seek the destruction of America. Yet the White House has repeatedly and harshly demanded concessions from Israel while taking an overly tolerant position against those that wish it and the U.S. ill.

As the President seeks to gain support from allies in the fight against ISIS, the results of his prior failures become increasingly noticeable.  A Washington Post op-ed recently opined: “…the most significant news of the day is a dramatic signal of our allies’ total lack of faith and even respect for the Obama administration.

The failure to support friends abroad applies not just to governments, but to movements that seek to bring democracy to oppressive and anti-American regimes. Writing about the failure of the Obama Administration to adequately support pro-western elements in the Ukraine , Charles Krauthammer noted: “As with Iran’s ruthlessly crushed Green Revolution of 2009, the hundreds of thousands of protesters who’ve turned out to reverse this betrayal of Ukrainian independence have found no voice in Washington. Can’t this administration even rhetorically support those seeking a democratic future, as we did during Ukraine’s Orange Revolution of 2004?”

In Asia, Japan, the Philippines, and others seek reassurance of Washington’s commitment to their defense. But when China’s navy sailed into the Philippines’ Exclusive Economic Zone and claimed part of it for its own, Washington didn’t even launch a strict diplomatic protest. Ditto for Beijing’s aggressive actions against Japan.

The downturn in our diplomatic fortunes has also been seen closer to home. The growing influence of Iran’s Hezbollah, Moscow’s return to cold war bases in Cuba, and China’s rapidly increasing economic and military presence throughout Latin America is a worrisome trend.

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China’s aggressive moves remain unaddressed

China has long had tense relations with the West over its claims to Taiwan.  However, the latest Pentagon report on Beijing’s massively growing military might–“Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China”– points to hostile designs that include the entire region, directly threatening American allies Japan and the Philippines, as well as international commerce through essential waters.

The structure of China’s vast military machine clearly indicates an increasingly offensive force, one that views the United States as the key obstacle to its designs for domination of the region. Beijing’s forces are not only large; they are also technologically at the cutting edge.  The Obama Administration’s weak response to China’s aggressive actions against Japan and the Philippines, as well other neighboring nations, has exacerbated the growing crisis by essentially providing that nation’s leaders with evidence that they will pay no price for their misdeeds. The White House has essentially remained neutral in the disputes, not siding with our friends against a mutual enemy.

Recent studies have shown that the extent of liver enzymes will increase once taking Oral buying levitra in canada http://www.devensec.com/sustain/eidis-updates/IndustrialSymbiosisupdateApril_June2011.pdf Steroid. But they cheap viagra no rx remain a temporary solution in the sense of making the offender more prone to take advantage of a top drawer penis health cream. In addition, those cheap and chemical based products are sales cialis http://www.devensec.com/meetings/ROD_5_22_18_signed.pdf not good for health, because they raise a number of negative health issues. You can include bananas, eggs, spinach, fish, broccoli, oysters and watermelon in cialis in spain your daily diet. There have been some signs that the White House, repeatedly criticized for its lack of support for allies, has made at least some gestures in acknowledgement of the growing threat.  Military contacts with Manila have been beefed up.

But the problem is far more than mere diplomacy. The diminishing strength of the American Navy, a key element in deterring China, continues to be the key element.

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China’s aggressiveness increases as U.S. sea power fades

China recently expressed anger that the U.S. and Japan coordinated their remarks regarding Beijing’s aggressive actions in the South China Sea.  That displeasure is highly indicative of China’s growing belief that it has achieved a position of military hegemony in the region.

Japan and the America have been allies for over half a century.  During the time period, an era of unprecedented peace and prosperity had taken hold.

Unfortunately, Washington has not acted like much of an ally lately.  The U.S. failed to provide either diplomatic or military aid to the Philippines when Beijing’s ships occupied a rich off-shore region belonging to Manila.  Similarly, it has failed to provide diplomatic assistance to Tokyo in the growing territorial dispute with China.

The confidence that Beijing;s military expresses when it criticizes the long-standing, appropriate, and globally beneficial relationship between Japan and America speaks volumes about the diminished state of the U.S. Navy, and the dramatic increase in China’s strategic and conventional armed strength, especially that of its naval forces.
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Confirming the contention made by the NEW YORK ANALYSIS OF POLICY & GOVERNMENT in the past, the Pentagon has now (rather belatedly) stated that Beijing’s military budget is considerably in excess of that publicly stated by that government. In its latest review of China’s military budget, it maintains that at least 20% more is actually spent.

THE NEW YORK ANALYSIS OF POLICY & GOVERNMENT continues to  maintain that the actual figure is higher still.  The People’s Liberation Army derives income from numerous private companies it owns or has substantial interest in. Further, it does not include numerous expense items that other governments include in their military budget.

As Beijing’s armed strength continues to grow and America’s continues to fade (the U.S. Navy is at its lowest level since before World War I) further acts of aggression, both in actual force of arms and in diplomatic forums, can be expected.

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Legitimate Questions About Obama’s Foreign Policy are not “Political.”

Iran has vocally dismissed any potential of living up to the promises it made regarding its nuclear weapons program. Russia has stolen territory from Ukraine, moved tactical nuclear missiles to its European border, and established military ties with Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. China, too, has established military ties in Latin America, openly threatens its Asian neighbors, steals offshore assets from the Philippines, attacks Vietnamese ships, and, lest we forget, continues to occupy Tibet. Both Moscow and Beijing continue to dramatically build up their militaries to levels far higher than what they possessed during the Cold War. Al Qaeda has expanded its influence in the Middle East, and grows stronger in Africa. North Korea has developed the capacity to launch a nuclear-armed missile at the United States, and the resulting EMP blast could literally destroy all modern infrastructure in the contiguous 48 states.

In reply, the President, in his West Point speech, called for a less military-centric U.S. foreign policy, and continues to cut military funding. He does, however, continue to defend his intervention in Libya and calls for more US assistance to Syrian rebels, two moves that have absolutely nothing to do with American interests or national security.

Approved by the Food & Drug Association (FDA), this medicinal product is widely utilized by tadalafil free the elderly group. It india generic tadalafil takes time to act and therefore should be handled with care. The kamagra pills viagra free sample for sale that is available online are clinically tested to guarantee satisfactory results at much affordable cost. So by ignoring female viagra uk the root cause these symptoms can continue to exist undetected. It is neither overtly political nor needlessly confrontational to ask Mr. Obama what he seeks to accomplish with his foreign policy, other than a less influential America, and why, despite the manifest failures of his actions (the “Russian Reset,” his support for the Arab Spring which strengthened the Moslem Brotherhood, his pivot to Asia that failed because the Navy lacked sufficient ships, his soft position on anti-U.S. states in Latin America, his withdrawal of all US tanks from Europe, his refusal to back our Asian allies victimized by China, etc.) he refuses to change course.

An elected leader in a free nation always owes an explanation of his actions and goals to the citizenry, particularly when those actions have resulted in dramatic setbacks for the national interests. Mr. Obama and his supporters continue to allege that those very legitimate questions are mere political bickering. They are not.

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Pretending that threats don’t exist

The state of world crises can be summarized in a single sentence: While Russia and China rapidly and substantively build their military might to unprecedented levels of strength and skill, the United States and its allies continue to slash their funding on defense.

The net effect is obvious and worrisome. Both China and Russia, and their surrogates Iran and North Korea, have taken note of this new world order, and are acting without the balance of power restraint that has prevented a world war since 1945.

The Obama Administration has engaged in a suicidal game of “let’s pretend.”  Consistently, in the face of all reality and evidence, it continues to discount the clearly rising possibility of major conflict.  It virtually ignored China’s assault on the Philippines in 2012, in which Beijing’s naval vessels claimed portions of Manila’s exclusive economic zone.  It completely failed to respond to Moscow’s assault on the Ukraine   with the two most important effective tools at its disposal: a cessation of the budget cuts to the U.S. military, and the development of federal land energy assets that would have diminished Russia’s main source of income, gas and oil sales.

The President talks tough.  He announced a pivot to Asia, but doesn’t have the naval assets  to make that strategy anything more than just talk.  He announces his support for NATO, but withdrew all American tanks  from the European continent.
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The White House has announced its plans to reduce the already antiquated American nuclear arsenal,  and continues to oppose the full implementation of an American anti-ballistic missile system.  However, it refuses to make an issue of Moscow’s own developed ABM system.  It accepts, without protest, the Kremlin’s ten to one advantage in tactical nuclear arms.

When the USSR began placing theater nuclear missiles in Europe during the latter half of the 20th century, President Reagan countered with the U.S. Pershing missile.  Moscow saw it would gain no advantage, and an agreement by both sides was reached stopping deployment of such weapons. The Obama Administration didn’t follow this example, and now Russia’s ISKANDER missiles, unopposed, threaten Europe.  While Putin has committed over $700 billion to new armaments over its already large budget and China spends vastly more each year, the White House continues to seek defense budget cuts.

It’s not a question of hawks or doves, or even of domestic budget priorities.  It’s reality vs. let’s pretend.

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Obama Faces Difficult Asian Trip

President Obama is travelling on his fifth trip to Asia today, a six-day event that will take him to a region that has become far more dangerous over the past 21 years, and especially so during the past five years as the American military has seen its funding levels slashed.

The President is said to be seeking to reassure allies in the region, but the lack of substance in strength and action will be hard for America’s friends to ignore.  The problem is particularly salient in light of recent events, including Washington’s failure to live up to its treaty obligations to the Ukraine in Europe the Philippines in the Pacific, and its decreased support for Israel in the Middle East.

As America’s navy shrunk to pre-World War I levels, tensions in the Pacific Ocean region that had been significantly contained during the post-World War II era re-emerged in a virulent new form.

The new era of militarism in Asia has been brewing for decades.  The West relaxed its guard following the collapse of the Soviet Union, ignoring the modernized Chinese military as well as the redevelopment of Moscow’s arsenal under Vladimir Putin.

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The pace of China’s dramatic increase in armed might exceeds that of both the USA and the USSR during the height of the First Cold War. As the Pentagon deals with vast new cuts, the People’s Liberation Army received yet another large spending hike.  The public figures may be only the tip of an iceberg.  The PLA also controls a number of profit-making activities that produce substantial additional revenue for its use.

Beijing’s aggressive actions against Japan forced Tokyo to re-evaluate its “Peace Constitution.” Similarly, China’s takeover of offshore areas within the Philippine Exclusive Economic Zone is a throwback to an era of imperialism that many had hoped was committed to history.

With a diminished military and a legacy of not supporting allies in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, the President will have a difficult task reassuring allies facing the cold reality of Chinese power.