Moslem Brotherhood – USA Gov Policy

The Egyptian government, under President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, is creating a radically different Middle Eastern government, one that directly combats terrorism and advocates a more modern role for Islamic nations. Strangely, the Obama administration isn’t pleased, citing Cairo’s harsh treatment of the radical Moslem Brotherhood and other opposition voices. While criticizing el-Sisi, the White House remained relatively restrained on massive human rights violations by the virulently anti-American Iranian regime.

The moves by el-Sisi are part of his direct confrontation against terrorist influences within his nation. He has closed down Mosques that reportedly are little more than centers for Islamic extremists. He has called for a reformation of the Moslem religion’s proclivity for violence and intolerance.

The Egyptian President has moved to improve his nation’s fragile economy, addressing energy concerns, and initiating a $4 billion project to enhance the Suez Canal. Perhaps his most spectacular effort has been the “Capitalcairo” initiative, a project to build a new urban environment that will be a center for commerce, government administration, and cosmopolitan living.
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According to the Egyptian government, “With over 10,000 km of boulevards, avenues and streets, the city will be pedestrian-friendly. It will have vibrant recreational spaces to bring people together. It will be buzzing with life day and night. Cairo Capital is a momentous endeavour to build national spirit, foster consensus, provide for long-term sustainable growth and address various issues faced by Egypt through a new city, which will create more places to live, work and visit.The masterplan is to create a global city with smart infrastructure for Egypt’s future, which will provide a multitude of economic opportunities and offer a distinct quality of life.”

The most notable aspect of this project is an apparent commitment to modernity. Illustrations portray a population devoid of the extremist restrictions on female dress.

On February 20, The State Department announced that “The United States Government condemns today’s terrorist attacks in eastern Libya which took the lives of at least 40 innocent victims as well as the other violence and terrorist acts that have been inflicted on Libya, its people, and others living in Libya in recent months. We send our deepest condolences to the victims and their families and to the people of Libya as they continue to fight back against terrorism. This latest terrorist attack underscores the need for all Libyan parties, including former general and national congress members to participate in the UN-led dialogue convened by Bernardino Leon, the special representative of the UN secretary-general to form a national unity government. Those who choose not to participate are excluding themselves from discussions which are critical to combatting terrorism as well as to the overall peace, stability, and security of Libya. The best way to counter the terrorists who are operating Libya is to have Libyans build the national consensus that they need to fight these groups, not each other.”

Islamic extremists have gained strength in the aftermath of the White House decision to engage in regime change in Libya in October 2011. The unwanted consequences were even more severe than the rise of the Moslem Brotherhood in Egypt following the Obama-supported ouster of Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who had been cooperative with the West and a supporter of peace, and the persecution of Coptic Christians which followed.

Despite an extensive tradition of vehement protests against U.S. military action, there was comparatively little public outcry or official investigation into the Obama Administration’s odd decision to support the ouster of Libya’s Gadhafi. His regime posed no threat to peace, and was essentially on the same side as the U.S. in the fight against Islamic terror forces. In the aftermath of the President’s decision to prematurely withdraw American forces from Iraq, which had the unfortunate consequence of establishing a power vacuum that allowed ISIS to rise, it appeared that a policy of limited U.S. military force had been established. However, U.S. armed forces proved to be a key asset in the European effort against Gadhafi.
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Libya has now become a virtual haven for Islamic extremists, highlighted by the assault on the U.S. facility in Benghazi which resulted in the death of Ambassador Stevens in 2012, and the recent assault on a luxury hotel in Tripoli resulting in the death of an American and eight others. The disorder has presented threats to regional areas such as Tunisia, Algeria, Niger, Chad and Egypt.

Quick Analysis

Putin’s Saber Rattling

Earlier this week, President Biden reversed his 2022 decision, authorizing the provision of antipersonnel land mines to the Ukrainian government. It follows an earlier Administration authorization to allow the use of an advanced American missile system capable of striking as deep as 100 miles inside Russian territory. The US election season may be ending, but both Russia and the West show no indication of stepping down the conflict. Russian propaganda continues to swell as the Kremlin increases its threats to use nuclear weapons against the West. Last week Andrey Sushentsov, program director of the pro-Kremlin think tank Valdai Discussion Club (VDC), published an article on growing nuclear tensions in the region. Official Russian language in the last few years has been threatening. Since the US election, rhetoric like that in the Sushentsov article, has approached the level of nuclear blackmail. The VDC article’s main theme centers on Russia’s intent to directly confront the West militarily if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) becomes involved in Russia’s conflict with Ukraine. “On the one hand, these threats are intended to frighten the West, but on the other, Russian propagandists themselves are starting to believe in the inevitability of escalation,” according to Ksenia Kirillova of the Jamestown Foundation. On November 11, Sushentsov wrote that “The conflict will reach a completely new level, with unpredictable consequences for Europe and the entire world.” Kirillova points out that Putin’s distorted image of the world is divorced from reality and is causing the Kremlin to issue demands that are impossible to fulfill. Financial and other Russian resources needed to support Putin’s war are growing scarcer at the same time. This week the Kremlin announced a reduction of payments to its soldiers. Recently North Korea acknowledged it was sending soldiers to fight in Ukraine as Putin is running out of bodies to use as cannon fire. The war is not going well for Russia. One question floating around the Washington intelligence community is whether Putin will act out of desperation before President-elect Trump assumes office. In recent months the Russian propaganda machine is spewing out materials from fairly reputable analytical platforms inside the country. Kirillova says that “Kremlin ‘experts’ do not conceal that such threats are only intended to break the West psychologically, as they themselves are not prepared for full-scale nuclear war.” Despite Russia’s lack of preparation for an all-out war with the West, the expanding nuclear rhetoric carries with it an increase in the threat of a full-scale war in multiple theaters of operation. In June 2023 a founder of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, Sergey Karaganov, called for “delivering a pre-emptive strike of retaliation” on Poland to force the West to surrender. In the previous month, Dmitry Suslov, a direct of research programs at the policy center proposed organizing “a demonstration nuclear explosion” aimed at intimidating the West. In September, President Putin announced a reappraisal of Russian nuclear doctrine after speaking earlier in the year at the plenary session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and jokingly calling Suslov a “scary person.” Pavel Baev, writing in the European Daily Monitor, says “Putin intends his announcement to mark an escalation of nuclear brinkmanship and influence the proceedings of future Ukrainian peace efforts.” Putin is expanding the list of environmental conditions that are acceptable for using a nuclear weapon and incorporating it into Russian military doctrine. Baev adds that “The ups and downs of Russian brinkmanship are disconnected from the kinetic battles of the war, correlating instead with Ukrainian peace offensives, such as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s first peace summit in Bürgenstock, Switzerland.” Despite the increase in vitriolic language, in a You Tube video published a week before the US presidential election, Karaganov openly assured the West the primary goal of the escalation is to break the American spirit and that of the West, not outright nuclear war. By Election Day in the US, with political prognosticators predicting a win for former president Trump, Karaganov changed his tune and called for an increased role in nuclear deterrence. Kirillova points out that Western concessions to Russia are unlikely to reduce the risk of nuclear escalation. The distorted reality inside the Kremlin continues to push that President-elect Trump is an adherent of “world government,” that Ukraine will create a nuclear weapon, and Russia must prepare for a nuclear conflagration to achieve its ambitions for a new world order. President-elect Trump has indicated he will not agree to concessions that destabilize Europe, the Middle East or other regions. Going forward a strong US foreign policy may be the most stabilizing course the West can count on to restrain Putin and his intent to rebuild the Russian empire. Daria Novak served in the U.S. State Dept. Illustration: Pixabay

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