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Abandoning East Asia

The image is both iconic and reassuring—an American aircraft carrier on patrol in East Asia, protecting friends, deterring aggressors and criminals, insuring that vital trade routes remain open.

For a while, however, the scene will exist only in historic newsreels. After well over a half century in which U.S. carriers served as an omnipresent key guarantor of peace and stability, budget cuts will force their temporary absence. The unprecedented gap will occur when the U.S.S. George Washington returns to America for refitting.  No replacement will be provided for at least a third of a year, until the U.S.S. Ronald Reagan becomes available.

The news has been met with distress by American allies in the region. The Japanese news source Asia Nikkei  reports that “Security policymakers in Japan and the U.S. are privately voicing concern about the absence of U.S. aircraft carriers from East Asian waters for four months next year…officials fear having no carriers in the region could provide China and North Korea with an opportunity to take military action.”

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The radical alteration in the U.S. military posture has occurred without much public discussion or debate. In addition to starving the armed forces for funds, President Obama has unilaterally withdrawn all American tanks from Europe, allowed the further deterioration of the American nuclear deterrent, reneged on plans to protect the U.S. and allies with an anti-missile system, and agreed to allow Russia to maintain a ten to one advantage in tactical nuclear missiles. The White House has advocated unilateral cuts in American atomic weapons. It pursues a budget which will leave the U.S. army with fewer personnel than North Korea’s force. It has not responded in any substantive manner to China’s massive military buildup. It has failed to take even any significant diplomatic steps in response to armed attacks by Russia and China against their neighbors.

These are fundamental alterations in a defense posture that over the past seventy years has prevented another world war, and defeated the Soviet Union in the cold war. Mr. Obama’s inexplicable abandoning of this successful policy should been widely debated, but the major media has seen fit to ignore it.

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China’s aggressive moves remain unaddressed

China has long had tense relations with the West over its claims to Taiwan.  However, the latest Pentagon report on Beijing’s massively growing military might–“Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China”– points to hostile designs that include the entire region, directly threatening American allies Japan and the Philippines, as well as international commerce through essential waters.

The structure of China’s vast military machine clearly indicates an increasingly offensive force, one that views the United States as the key obstacle to its designs for domination of the region. Beijing’s forces are not only large; they are also technologically at the cutting edge.  The Obama Administration’s weak response to China’s aggressive actions against Japan and the Philippines, as well other neighboring nations, has exacerbated the growing crisis by essentially providing that nation’s leaders with evidence that they will pay no price for their misdeeds. The White House has essentially remained neutral in the disputes, not siding with our friends against a mutual enemy.

Recent studies have shown that the extent of liver enzymes will increase once taking Oral buying levitra in canada http://www.devensec.com/sustain/eidis-updates/IndustrialSymbiosisupdateApril_June2011.pdf Steroid. But they cheap viagra no rx remain a temporary solution in the sense of making the offender more prone to take advantage of a top drawer penis health cream. In addition, those cheap and chemical based products are sales cialis http://www.devensec.com/meetings/ROD_5_22_18_signed.pdf not good for health, because they raise a number of negative health issues. You can include bananas, eggs, spinach, fish, broccoli, oysters and watermelon in cialis in spain your daily diet. There have been some signs that the White House, repeatedly criticized for its lack of support for allies, has made at least some gestures in acknowledgement of the growing threat.  Military contacts with Manila have been beefed up.

But the problem is far more than mere diplomacy. The diminishing strength of the American Navy, a key element in deterring China, continues to be the key element.

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China’s aggressiveness increases as U.S. sea power fades

China recently expressed anger that the U.S. and Japan coordinated their remarks regarding Beijing’s aggressive actions in the South China Sea.  That displeasure is highly indicative of China’s growing belief that it has achieved a position of military hegemony in the region.

Japan and the America have been allies for over half a century.  During the time period, an era of unprecedented peace and prosperity had taken hold.

Unfortunately, Washington has not acted like much of an ally lately.  The U.S. failed to provide either diplomatic or military aid to the Philippines when Beijing’s ships occupied a rich off-shore region belonging to Manila.  Similarly, it has failed to provide diplomatic assistance to Tokyo in the growing territorial dispute with China.

The confidence that Beijing;s military expresses when it criticizes the long-standing, appropriate, and globally beneficial relationship between Japan and America speaks volumes about the diminished state of the U.S. Navy, and the dramatic increase in China’s strategic and conventional armed strength, especially that of its naval forces.
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Confirming the contention made by the NEW YORK ANALYSIS OF POLICY & GOVERNMENT in the past, the Pentagon has now (rather belatedly) stated that Beijing’s military budget is considerably in excess of that publicly stated by that government. In its latest review of China’s military budget, it maintains that at least 20% more is actually spent.

THE NEW YORK ANALYSIS OF POLICY & GOVERNMENT continues to  maintain that the actual figure is higher still.  The People’s Liberation Army derives income from numerous private companies it owns or has substantial interest in. Further, it does not include numerous expense items that other governments include in their military budget.

As Beijing’s armed strength continues to grow and America’s continues to fade (the U.S. Navy is at its lowest level since before World War I) further acts of aggression, both in actual force of arms and in diplomatic forums, can be expected.

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Brazil’s nuclear sub

According to a report in the military affairs news source Spacewar Brazil is developing its first nuclear submarine.

On the other side of the planet, Japan is considering abandoning its “peace” constitution due to the increasing threat from China. In Europe, previously unaligned Sweden is rebuilding its armed forces.  India is also developing powerful advanced weapons.  In the Middle East, there is concern that a nuclear arms race will develop in the wake of the weakening of sanctions against Iran.

Many nations that have extensive civilian needs are diverting scarce resources towards armaments.  This didn’t happen in a vacuum.  It is a clear reflection of the diminished presence, power, and will of the United States and NATO.

Trapped in a time warp of wishful thinking, American and European governments continue to conduct their foreign affairs and military spending as though history had ended when the Soviet Union collapsed. The resurgence of Moscow, the rise of China, the proliferation of advanced atomic capabilities in nations with antagonistic governments such as those in Tehran and Pyongyang appear to have escaped the concern of Washington and its European counterparts.
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Western leaders apparently have adopted a firm belief in the potential of diplomacy unsupported by armed strength when dealing with aggressive powers, a concept that is unsubstantiated by any current or historical evidence.  This has replaced a candid acceptance of the facts as they truly exist.

As a result, other nations, no longer protected by the great Western powers, have scrambled to devise their own deterrent.  That is not necessarily inappropriate; nations should be their own first line of defense.  But in the face of the growing alliance between Russia, China, North Korea and Iran, those smaller nations will not stand a chance of success in any conflict or threat of conflict.

That fact encourages aggression, and will lead to increasingly widespread warfare.

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North Korean Military Threatens the World. Is Anybody Paying Attention?

While the media was providing nonstop coverage of the lost Malaysian jet with little or no facts to report, events of the greatest international significance were taking place in the same increasingly volatile area of the globe.

North Korea, that land condemned for its massive human rights violations and an exporter of high-end weapons technology to any willing buyer, was loudly proclaiming to the world that it would not rule out “new forms” of nuclear tests.  It tested an atomic device as recently as February 2013.The Pyongyang government is also moving ahead with its missile launches.

Japan and South Korea are increasingly threatened. Tokyo, which is finding it exceptionally difficult to abide by its peace constitution, now plans to use sea-based Aegis interceptors to eliminate any threat to its territory from the missile tests.  Pyongyang has also threatened South Korea through conventional artillery barrages.

President Obama recently met with South Korean President Park and Japanese Prime Minister Abe to discuss the North Korean nuclear threat.
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President Park noted that “The North Korean nuclear issue poses a major threat to peace and stability in the region, and it is vital that the international community, including  Korea, the U.S. and Japan fashion a joint response.”

Two salient facts facilitate North Korea’s rise as a military power.  Its close relationship with China renders international pressure relatively ineffective, as Beijing’s vast economic strength can offset global actions.  The other challenge is the sharply diminished state of American military power, particularly its Navy, which is at its lowest level since World War One and under increasing threat from a federal budget that continues to strip funds from defense to pay for sharply increased entitlement programs.

North Korea’s weapons programs have global implications, not only on their own but with other rogue nations as well. The regime is believed to have traded technology with Iran, which continues to move forward with its own nuclear efforts.