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The Failed State of Mexico

Much attention has been paid to crises on distant continents, and rightfully so. The Middle East is tinderbox about to go up in blaze; Russia’s aggressiveness has brought the Cold War back to life, and China seems to be pursing the same belligerent role played by Japan that led to Pearl Harbor.

However, one needs look no further than America’s own southern border to find a significant crisis with major implications for the U.S.  Yesterday’s review examined how terrorists appear to be using Mexico as a launching pad to enter the American homeland. They are able to do so because Mexico is on the verge of being a wholly failed state.

That dire situation seems counter-intuitive. World.Silk   describes the nation in fairly glowing terms: “Mexico has one of the world’s largest economies, and is considered both a regional power and middle power… [it is considered to be] an upper-middle income country by the World Bank,  a newly industrialized nation, and an emerging power.It has the fourteenth largest nominal GDP and the eleventh largest GDP by purchasing power parity.” Additionally, it is one of the world’s most visited countries.

Last week, a Congressional Research Service study  on U.S.-Mexican security cooperated noted that  “Violence perpetrated by a range of criminal groups continues to threaten citizen security and governance in some parts of Mexico, a country with which the United States shares a nearly 2,000-mile border and more than $500 billion in annual trade…analysts estimate that it may have claimed more than 80,000 lives between December 2006 and December 2014. Recent cases—particularly the disappearance of 43 students in Guerrero, Mexico in September 2014—have drawn attention to the problems of corruption and impunity for human rights abuses in Mexico….

The danger to the U.S. from the power of Mexico’s organized criminal gangs, which far too frequently and in far too many locations exercise more power than the government, was noted in another Congressional study, “Terrorism and Transnational crime”  “criminals and terrorists have shared similar tactics to reach their separate operational objectives. Such tactics include acts of violence; involvement in criminal activity for profit; money laundering; undetected cross-border movements; illegal weapons acquisition; and exploitation of corrupt government officials. • Organizational Evolution and Variation: A criminal group may transform over time to adopt political goals and ideological motivations. Conversely, terrorist groups may shift toward criminality. For some terrorist groups, criminal activity remains secondary to ideological ambitions. For others, profit-making may surpass political aspirations as the dominant operating rationale.”

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An analysis by Stratfor emphasizes

“There comes a moment when the imbalance in resources reverses the relationship between government and cartels. Government officials, seeing the futility of resistance, effectively become tools of the cartels. Since there are multiple cartels, the area of competition ceases to be solely the border towns, shifting to the corridors of power in Mexico City. Government officials begin giving their primary loyalty not to the government but to one of the cartels. The government thus becomes both an arena for competition among the cartels and an instrument used by one cartel against another. That is the prescription for what is called a “failed state” — a state that no longer can function as a state.

“It is important to point out that we are not speaking here of corruption, which exists in all governments everywhere. Instead, we are talking about a systematic breakdown of the state, in which government is not simply influenced by criminals, but becomes an instrument of criminals — either simply an arena for battling among groups or under the control of a particular group. The state no longer can carry out its primary function of imposing peace, and it becomes helpless, or itself a direct perpetrator of crime. Corruption has been seen in Washington — some triggered by organized crime, but never state failure.”

A key symbol of the imbalance between Mexican governmental authority and  criminal organizations can be seen in an analysis by Vocativ  “At least 100 mayors have been murdered in the past 10 years in connection with organized crime, the Association of Local Authorities of … Mayors have been killed by decapitation, pummeled by stones, gunned to death and dismembered, according to local reports.”

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Venezuela’s Threat

Life in Venezuela continues to be an exercise in fear and intimidation. The virulently anti-American regime continues to work jointly with Russian and Iranian military interests, suppresses free speech, and brutally oppresses political opposition. Those calling for freedom are incarcerated without trial.  The government authorizes paramilitary organizations to perform acts of violence on those with the courage to speak out against its atrocities. In one rare case where a non-establishment candidate, Antonio Ledezma, did succeed in winning an election as mayor of Caracas, the government robbed him of authority by creating an alternative city hall.

Venezuela’s problems deeply affect the United States. Some of those arriving illegally on our southern border are escaping the terrible conditions in their homeland. But Venezuela has far more dangerous exports, as well. The national government utilizes its oil wealth to finance military threats against both the U.S. and its Latin American neighbors, purchasing arms and expertise from China, Iran, and Russia.

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Luis Fleischman, writing for Menges, notes that although the House of Representatives has passed legislation enabling sanctions on Venezuela, the Senate has failed to go along.

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Hispanic View on Illegal Immigration

In an exclusive interview with the Vernuccio/Allison Report, Clara E. Del Villar, the CEO & Editor-in-Chief of the Hispanic Post, revealed her concerns about the current crisis of illegal aliens flooding America’s southern border.

Ms. Villar notes that Mexico’s exceptionally powerful drug cartels are using the exodus as a screen to infiltrate their power to the United States.  She has recommended the following common sense approach:

  1. Secure the border. Our border security system is irresponsibly broken. Building up and maintaining strong, effective resources to address security, monitoring, and manpower requirements should not be a work in progress. Why the delay in addressing this obvious and primary need? The children now clamoring at our borders should sound serious alarm bells about the consequences and dangers of inaction…

    2. Modernize the visa system. There are systems management technologies available to bring efficiency, scalability, and sensory tracking ability to major industries …

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    4. Strengthen diplomatic efforts. Maintain real relationships with Central American and Mexican officials on these immigration issues and more. U.S.-Latin American relations have long been a secondary foreign policy consideration to our detriment.

    5. Enact new laws. Serious immigration resolution requires provisional legal status, or guest-worker registration, with probation after all the background checks, fines, and taxes. Yes, there are doubts that undocumented immigrants will come forward to register. But it is safe to say that more will come forward to register than appear out of the shadows for mass deportation. Any process that includes identification beats the unknowable status quo we remain mired in at this time.

    6. Fix the visa process. The H1B visa restrictions on foreign graduate students are unwieldy at best. Some rules are archaic, such as a 7 percent limit on permanent permits to any nationality. The notion of limiting H1B visas to 65,000 (a number selected during or just after 9/11) is incomprehensible in a free market society. Such a policy is arbitrary, inefficient, and creates no economic benefit.