China Threat – USA Gov Policy

China may, or may not have, deliberately unleashed the deadly virus consuming the world’s attention and resources, but what is certain is that the Chinese Communist leadership failed to consider its impact on America’s attitude toward China. Washington is “woke.” Three months ago Christopher Wray, Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation, called China “the greatest long-term threat” to the economic vitality and national security of the United States. This week leading Republican legislators introduced a 25-page bill into the US Congress called the China Task Force Act. It contains 137 key China-related recommendations. The bill, introduced by House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), aims to stop a US policy of accommodation toward China.

“For more than 40 years, we have seen China’s ruthless rise in power result in attacks on freedom and human rights around the world. And for far too long the United States’ policy of accommodation, as underscored by the Obama-Biden administration, has only continued to enable the Chinese Communist Party’s brutal dictatorship,” according to a statement released by Rep. McCarthy. He also called on Congressional Democrats to join the effort to call out and hold China accountable. The bill states that “The United States’ goal should be the end of the CCP’s monopoly on power, rather than indefinite coexistence with a fundamentally hostile communist state.” China is sure to react negatively to this legislation is given the CCP leadership’s announced intent to remake the world ideological in its image.

The origin of the US legislation goes back to at least last spring when Congress began an organized investigation into China’s maleficent behavior. In May a 15-member group in Congress formed the China Task Force with the goal of examining Chinese human rights abuses against its domestic minorities, influence operations in the US, attempts to steal American technology, threats to US national security, and China’s role in the global spread of the COVID-19 virus, among other issues. Originally intended as a bipartisan committee, all Congressional Democrats originally involved dropped out in an effort to avoid criticizing China. The Committee continued its work with the resulting legislative measure introduced this week. It includes recommendations such as moving critical industrial chains back home, modernizing the U.S. military, and sanctioning the regime for its human rights violations.

In a press release Tuesday, October 20, Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) announced that the resolution…

Recognizes that the People’s Republic of China (PRC) currently poses the greatest foreign threat to United States peace, security, and stability;
Recognizes that the PRC, regardless of future leadership, will likely continue to be a major rival of the United States in the coming decades, due to the enormous cumulative size and scale of its population, economy, and military capabilities; and
Supports the Trump administration’s overall strategic approach to the PRC, grounded in principled realism and firm-but-measured competitive engagement whenever United States national interests are at stake, that has been outlined in sources including but not limited to:
1. the United States Strategic Approach to the People’s Republic of China (May 2020)
2. the National Defense Strategy of the United States of America (October 2018);
3. the National Cyber Strategy of the United States of America (September 2018);
4. the National Security Strategy of the United States of America (December 2017).

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The resolution points out that China has maintained a massive trade surplus over the United States by manipulating its currency and maintaining unreasonably high tariffs, among other tactics. It also acknowledges that China routinely pressures US companies entering its market to cede their intellectual property and market licensing rights and frequently carries out cyberattacks on United States companies to steal trade secrets or other sensitive information it cannot obtain by other means.

Cyberattacks originating from China target not only private sector firms in the US but also directly threaten US Government and defense operations, academic institutions, nonprofit organizations, and American citizens. Chinese has access to the personal data of most US citizens.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government. Each Friday, she presents key updates on China.

Photo: Chinese naval ships (China Defense Ministry)

Quick Analysis

Putin’s Saber Rattling

Earlier this week, President Biden reversed his 2022 decision, authorizing the provision of antipersonnel land mines to the Ukrainian government. It follows an earlier Administration authorization to allow the use of an advanced American missile system capable of striking as deep as 100 miles inside Russian territory. The US election season may be ending, but both Russia and the West show no indication of stepping down the conflict. Russian propaganda continues to swell as the Kremlin increases its threats to use nuclear weapons against the West. Last week Andrey Sushentsov, program director of the pro-Kremlin think tank Valdai Discussion Club (VDC), published an article on growing nuclear tensions in the region. Official Russian language in the last few years has been threatening. Since the US election, rhetoric like that in the Sushentsov article, has approached the level of nuclear blackmail. The VDC article’s main theme centers on Russia’s intent to directly confront the West militarily if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) becomes involved in Russia’s conflict with Ukraine. “On the one hand, these threats are intended to frighten the West, but on the other, Russian propagandists themselves are starting to believe in the inevitability of escalation,” according to Ksenia Kirillova of the Jamestown Foundation. On November 11, Sushentsov wrote that “The conflict will reach a completely new level, with unpredictable consequences for Europe and the entire world.” Kirillova points out that Putin’s distorted image of the world is divorced from reality and is causing the Kremlin to issue demands that are impossible to fulfill. Financial and other Russian resources needed to support Putin’s war are growing scarcer at the same time. This week the Kremlin announced a reduction of payments to its soldiers. Recently North Korea acknowledged it was sending soldiers to fight in Ukraine as Putin is running out of bodies to use as cannon fire. The war is not going well for Russia. One question floating around the Washington intelligence community is whether Putin will act out of desperation before President-elect Trump assumes office. In recent months the Russian propaganda machine is spewing out materials from fairly reputable analytical platforms inside the country. Kirillova says that “Kremlin ‘experts’ do not conceal that such threats are only intended to break the West psychologically, as they themselves are not prepared for full-scale nuclear war.” Despite Russia’s lack of preparation for an all-out war with the West, the expanding nuclear rhetoric carries with it an increase in the threat of a full-scale war in multiple theaters of operation. In June 2023 a founder of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, Sergey Karaganov, called for “delivering a pre-emptive strike of retaliation” on Poland to force the West to surrender. In the previous month, Dmitry Suslov, a direct of research programs at the policy center proposed organizing “a demonstration nuclear explosion” aimed at intimidating the West. In September, President Putin announced a reappraisal of Russian nuclear doctrine after speaking earlier in the year at the plenary session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and jokingly calling Suslov a “scary person.” Pavel Baev, writing in the European Daily Monitor, says “Putin intends his announcement to mark an escalation of nuclear brinkmanship and influence the proceedings of future Ukrainian peace efforts.” Putin is expanding the list of environmental conditions that are acceptable for using a nuclear weapon and incorporating it into Russian military doctrine. Baev adds that “The ups and downs of Russian brinkmanship are disconnected from the kinetic battles of the war, correlating instead with Ukrainian peace offensives, such as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s first peace summit in Bürgenstock, Switzerland.” Despite the increase in vitriolic language, in a You Tube video published a week before the US presidential election, Karaganov openly assured the West the primary goal of the escalation is to break the American spirit and that of the West, not outright nuclear war. By Election Day in the US, with political prognosticators predicting a win for former president Trump, Karaganov changed his tune and called for an increased role in nuclear deterrence. Kirillova points out that Western concessions to Russia are unlikely to reduce the risk of nuclear escalation. The distorted reality inside the Kremlin continues to push that President-elect Trump is an adherent of “world government,” that Ukraine will create a nuclear weapon, and Russia must prepare for a nuclear conflagration to achieve its ambitions for a new world order. President-elect Trump has indicated he will not agree to concessions that destabilize Europe, the Middle East or other regions. Going forward a strong US foreign policy may be the most stabilizing course the West can count on to restrain Putin and his intent to rebuild the Russian empire. Daria Novak served in the U.S. State Dept. Illustration: Pixabay

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