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CHINA’S STRATEGIC AIMS IN AFRICA

The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission  has issued its annual report to Congress. The New York Analysis of Policy and Government will periodically present summaries of their work.

Over the last two decades, China has reinvigorated its longstanding  ties to African countries, placing the continent squarely at the center  of its ambitions to become a global political and economic leader.  Beijing views Africa as a testing ground for the export of its political  and economic model and believes that if more African countries  emulate China’s system of governance, it will be easier for Beijing  to advance its strategic objectives across the continent and globally.  To this end, the Chinese government regularly hosts African political  and military leaders for training sessions many of  which stress the superiority of China’s autocratic governance model.  

The CCP has used the influence it gains from its political engagement with  African countries to enlist African support for its geopolitical objectives,  diminishing the impact of U.S. diplomacy in African countries and in  the international system. 

Economics is a key pillar in Beijing’s Africa strategy, with China  surpassing the United States as Africa’s largest trading partner in 2009  (see Figure 4). Today, China is also Africa’s largest bilateral creditor.  Though China’s growing presence in African economies can bring much 

needed infrastructure to many countries, the Chinese government’s lack  of transparency, accountability, and adherence to global development  standards raises concerns, including over its support for corruption and  repression. Beijing’s increasing control over the supply of key African  commodities such as cobalt could threaten U.S. access to inputs for  emerging technologies. Additionally, China’s infrastructure financing  often comes with requirements that Chinese firms complete the projects,  depriving non-Chinese firms of important business opportunities in many African countries.  

Key Findings 

▶ Beijing has long viewed African countries as occupying a central  position in its efforts to increase China’s global influence and revise  the international order. Over the last two decades, and especially under  General Secretary Xi’s leadership since 2012, Beijing has launched  new initiatives to transform Africa into a testing ground for the export  of its governance system of state-led economic growth under one 

party, authoritarian rule. 

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▶ Beijing uses its influence in Africa to gain preferential access to  Africa’s natural resources, open up markets for Chinese exports, and  enlist African support for Chinese diplomatic priorities on and beyond  the continent. The CCP flexibly tailors its approach to different African  countries with the goal of instilling admiration and at times emulation  

Chinese loans also risk creating an unsustainable debt burden in  some African countries, which may leave them vulnerable to Chinese  government coercion. Separately, the United States and other  responsible lenders might end up shouldering an outsized burden in  debt relief efforts, essentially bailing out Beijing’s irresponsible lending  practices. While commodities and infrastructure continue to dominate  China-Africa economic relations, China has also focused increasing  attention on Africa’s emerging digital economy. Chinese firms already  dominate Africa’s mobile phone handset market and have made  increasing investments in its venture capital market, providing China with  opportunities to set emerging technological standards in Africa. 

Although China seeks to minimize its visible military presence on the  continent, it nonetheless employs a multidimensional approach to security  engagement with African countries that supports its political, economic,  and military interests Beijing primarily relies on private  military contractors and African partners to protect its investments, and  there is evidence it has shown a willingness to leverage its influence  in the UN peacekeeping operations system to advance its economic  goals in Africa. China’s permanent military base in Djibouti improves its  ability to deploy and sustain troops on the continent, while substantial  investments in civilian ports could lead to dual-use arrangements.

▶ As the top bilateral financier of infrastructure projects across  Africa, China plays an important role in addressing the shortage  of infrastructure on the continent. China’s financing is opaque and  often comes with onerous terms, however, leading to rising concerns  of economic exploitation, dependency, and political coercion. Many  African countries borrowing from Beijing face growing debt burdens. 

▶ China has shown an apparent willingness to leverage its influence  in the UN peacekeeping operations system to advance its economic  interests in African countries, raising the possibility that Beijing is  subverting UN norms and procedures in the process. Beijing also relies  on the assistance of African partners and private security contractors  to advance its economic objectives on the continent. 

▶ China’s approach to security engagement allows Beijing to expand its  influence in Africa’s security domain while minimizing its visible military  presence outside of its UN peacekeeping operations contributions. As  Beijing’s economic and political influence on the continent grows,  it might leverage its security ties to establish another base in the  medium to long term, as it did in Djibouti. 

Illustration: Pixabay