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NY Analysis

INDEFENSIBLE

Although Defense spending accounts for only 20% of the federal budget, The White House has targeted the armed forces (which have basically been deprived of adequate supplies of new equipment since the end of the Reagan era) to take 50% of all spending cuts. It has also been leaked that a radical and unilateral reduction in our nuclear defense posture is being considered.

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In his budget, Obama has rejected the long-held doctrine that the U.S. must be prepared to fight in two separate regions simultaneously. The possibility of a large scale conflict with a powerful adversary such as China or Russia apparently has been rejected.
The President also advocates a unilateral and unprecedented 80% reduction of atomic warheads.  This would place the U.S. in a distant third place, behind Russia with its 6,000 warheads and on a par with China, leaving America vulnerable to ongoing intimidation from either of these powers as well as outright nuclear blackmail.
The proposal lowers U.S. nuclear strength to 1950 levels.  Strategically, this means that a first strike by an adversary could easily wipe out our arsenal, leaving the nation with no choice but surrender.
As the President attempts to enact his plan, Russia continues an ambitious military modernization program. MILPLEX  reports that China will double its announced military budget within the next five years.  North Korea and Iran are also moving swiftly ahead with their nuclear weapons programs.
In a bizarre twist, The Obama budget also cuts funds from Homeland Security, while increasing aid to Islamic fundamentalists in Egypt.
Last week, a group of military experts assembled by former Assistant Secretary of Defense Frank Gaffney noted that while the proposed defense cuts will slash our military capability, civilian DOD personnel will not be affected.  In other words, the fat will be spared while muscle is cut.
In the past, proposals to substantially reduce our national security posture would face stiff Republican opposition.  This year, the Republican Party is diverted by a fierce presidential primary battle, and it is being influenced by a small group of isolationists led by Ron Paul.
The end result of this proposed reduction to military spending may well cost far more than it actually saves. The impact of 100,000 low paid soldiers, sailors, marines and airmen returning home with very few available jobs will produce more expense in unemployment checks and related benefits than will be saved.  The fragile industrial base may not recover from the loss of military contracts. Numerous contractors and subcontractors will be forced out of business, destroying the recession-proof tax revenue and jobs they produce. Many of these businesses will close forever, meaning that future administrations would be powerless to undo the harm this reckless attack on our safety would produce.  To cite just one example, it has been estimated that New York State alone will lose almost 27,000 jobs.

Historians remind us that it was the pre-World War Two defense buildup that actually began to end the Great Depression. Gambling with our national safety is a poor bet at any time; doing so in an era of economic crisis is even worse.