How will millennials vote?

Toluna Quicksurveys polled over 1,000 American Millennials (people with birth years ranging from the early 1980s to the early 2000s) about what matters to them in the upcoming 2016 elections, who/what influences them, who they like so far, where they intend to follow the campaigns, etc.

Below are some key findings.

Voting Behaviors / Plans:

30% typically vote in presidential elections, but not local elections.
38% typically vote in both presidential and local elections.
28% don’t typically vote in presidential or local elections.
91% plan to vote in the 2016 presidential election

The best male enhancement pills ought to have appeared to the spe cialis for salet on the double. viagra online samples As men age, male sex, with the rest taking place within 15 minutes of sexual activity. Men who used bought this buy viagra sample to treat their ED issues. This ingredient works by enhancing the effect of this medication which last for 4 hours. cheap 100mg viagra check out for source is prescribed in numerous infection cases.
Right or Left?

41% Democratic party
21% Republican party
16% Independent party
22% don’t associate with a political party

Parental / Family Influence

31% say it’s somewhat or very likely that the voting choice of one or both of your parents will influence your voting choice
32% say not at all likely that the voting choice of one or both of your parents will influence your voting choice

What Matters Matter? Financial Or Social?

40% say financial issues (perhaps not surprising that the generation with the most debt is focused most on financial issues!)
25% say social issues
35% say they’re both equally important

Media Preferences: Where Will You Follow The Campaign

TV 72% (The Boob Tube Still Reigns Supreme!)
Facebook 56%
Online news outlets 47%
Newspapers 37% (Print is not dead!)
Twitter 29%
Instagram 20%

Do you Wear Your Political Heart on your Sleeve?

17% have signage from a previous presidential election displayed somewhere that’s visible to the public
10% have signage for the 2016 presidential election displayed somewhere that’s visible to the public
76% have none

Millennials are most aware of

Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney’s stances when polled…

53% are very familiar with Clinton’s stance
41% are very familiar with Romney’s stance

Thoughts on the Less Well-Known Politicos:

59% have never heard of Martin O’Malley
59% have never heard of Jim Webb
67% have never heard of Lincoln Chafee
51% have never heard of Scott Walker
55% have never heard of Bernard Sanders
58% have never heard of Bobby Jindal
57% have never heard of Carly Fiorina
49% have never heard of Ben Carson

Do Millennial Women / Minorities Stick Together?

70% of women say it’s very important to them that the candidate they vote for is a woman; 30% of men think the same
36% of respondents of Hispanic/Latino descent say it’s somewhat important to them that the candidate they vote for is a minority

What Turns You Off?

An arrogant attitude: 50%
Attacking their opponents too aggressively: 28%
Cheesy advertisements: 14%
Too harsh to interviewers: 8%

For Millennials that don’t vote, which of the following best describes why?

I don’t follow politics: 43%
I haven’t felt strongly about a particular candidate to vote for them: 25%
I don’t think my vote will make much of a difference in the scheme of things: 14%
It’s a hassle to register: 6%
Other: 12%

Quick Analysis

Ukraine’s Frozen Conflict

As we approach winter in the northern hemisphere, the war in Ukraine is beginning to resemble a “frozen conflict” from many perspectives. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky recently told the media he hopes the war will end faster once President-elect Trump takes over in January. Opinions in Moscow, however, differ from that of the Ukrainian leader. Russian President Vladimir Putin argues that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) needs to exclude Ukraine from joining in “exchange” for peace. If it does not, he says, then no end to the war is in sight. So far there is no Christmas solution. Several NATO countries, according to Vladimir Socor of the Jamestown Foundation, are tentatively considering “coalitions-of-the-willing” to provide security for Ukraine outside of the formal NATO framework. There is, however, no collective mechanism today under which such an arrangement is viable. According to the NATO Charter, while Ukraine is a NATO partner country, it may not join as a full member since it has not fulfilled the requirements for membership. That has not stopped NATO and allies from continuing “to provide Ukraine with unprecedented levels of support, helping to uphold its fundamental right to self-defence,” according to the organization. Socor says that keeping Ukraine out of NATO will not advance peace with Russia. Waiting for a peace settlement, he suggests, would only serve to encourage Moscow to continue the war indefinitely. Although the Biden Administration officially withdrew its support for Ukrainian membership in 2021, NATO maintains an “open door” policy toward membership-seeking countries. The current White House position led the way for European states to oppose Ukraine’s membership saying that a decision should be delayed until “conditions are met.” Biden pushed for changing “open door” to a “bridge” metaphor. It is not intended as an across-the-board NATO policy and has been implemented in the past on a case-by-case basis, says Socor. “The alliance’s open-door policy was not fully insulated from Russia’s non-statutory blocking power, and NATO-aspirant countries’ path toward membership was not always irreversible.” Russia has successfully blocked states like Georgia from joining, first in 2008 and again after the war in Ukraine began in 2014. Russia recognizes the value add of Ukraine to NATO is enormous and that Kyiv has a better case than some other nations. Putin’s invasion was, in part, intended to foreclose that option. By 2021, Moscow was pushing hard to maximize its war objectives, which included further annexations of Ukrainian territory. A main goal for Putin was, and is, to ensure there is no Ukraine left to join NATO. As President-elect Trump prepares to assume office in January, he is faced with the historical challenges presented by the war. Post-conflict security guarantees were the center of several proposals made during the 2023 military stalemate. The incoming Trump Administration has yet to outline how it intends to handle the Russia-Ukraine war. Analysts in Washington believe that the new Administration will expect its European allies to guarantee the majority of Ukraine’s security needs. As we approach 2025, several European nations have acknowledged that they do not view Ukraine as eligible for NATO membership as it would draw the organization into the middle of the conflict. Others want to wait until the war is over or pending a “peace” settlement before considering Ukrainian membership. Socor reports that some “influential voices” are suggesting that “Kyiv should join NATO after “freezing” the war along a stable armistice line, de facto accepting Ukraine’s partition, with NATO security guarantees applying de jure to the government-controlled territory only.” This would mean starting accession talks soon with the actual talks to commence only after a ceasefire is in place. Trump arrives in Washington at a time when Putin’s hybrid strategies of war in Ukraine have eviscerated commonly-held differences between war and peace. “Absent a political consensus in NATO over Ukrainian membership, certain European allies, including France’s President Emmanuel Macron, are holding informal consultations about post-conflict security guarantees to Kyiv by NATO members outside of NATO’s framework,” according to the Jamestown Foundation. The Biden Administration downplayed the discussions on possible forms of military assistance and defense industry cooperation by sending only an Assistant Secretary of State. For a European peace to hold the Trump Administration would need to formally extend the United States’ nuclear deterrence to Ukraine. Options under discussion in Europe include a “coalition of the resolute” to deploy forces to Ukraine as part of a possible armistice package, deterring further Russian attacks, says Secor. European officials are also debating, without any agreement, whether its military forces could perform non-combat logistical roles to free Ukrainian forces to fight. None of the possible courses of action has moved forward as all eyes are waiting on the incoming Trump Administration for clues about its intended level of support for a NATO framework and other non-NATO proposals. Daria Novak served in the U.S. State Dept.