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Je Sois Charlie

The recent terrorist attack on a Parisian satirical newspaper, the North Korean hacking of Sony Pictures, and Washington’s political debates over campaign speech, media activities, and internet regulations have a common thread. They all   constitute an assault on the First Amendment.

The readiness of far too many to surrender to the totalitarian demands of Jihadists have only encouraged actions such as that levied against France’s Charlie Hebdo,   a humorous journal.

Many media outlets which do not display any second thoughts about critical portrayals of Christianity, Judaism, or other religions balk at any negative commentary about Islam, despite the prevalence of Jihadists who have hijacked much of that faith for their own warped goals.  The violent attacks in Paris and elsewhere by terrorists, as well as pressure from “political correctness” vigilantes in the media and academia give rise to this culture of submission.

Astoundingly, many media outlets, in the aftermath of the Charlie Hebdo attack, concentrated on warning against a “backlash” instead of devoting more column space to the increasingly frail state of free speech. Far too few share the courage of that publication’s Stephanie Chardonnier, who in 2012 proclaimed that she would “rather die standing than live on my knees.”

For most Americans, the sacrosanct status of free speech has frequently been given no more daily attention than the existence of oxygen.  Certainly, it has been understood that the lack of that right in many nations around the world is an unfortunate reality, but it was generally assumed that didn’t affect U.S. citizens in any direct manner.

That assumption can no longer be considered correct, if, indeed, it ever had any validity.  Dictators and extremists across the planet realize that the First Amendment is a threat to their rule, and are actively taking steps against it. In the Internet age, they comprehend, freedom of speech originating in one venue cannot be contained.
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Examples abound. It is highly unlikely that the Sony movie portraying Kim Jong-un in a satirical manner would ever be shown within the “Hermit Kingdom’s” borders. But the mere existence of it elsewhere was viewed as a threat by Pyongyang’s leadership. This is not the first time that overseas pressure has affected U.S. filmmakers.  The re-make of the cult classic, “Red Dawn,”    which originally featured a storyline of a Chinese invasion of America, was amended to not offend Beijing.

Many universities have actively restricted the rights of students who publicly state positions that campus officials disagree with.

In 2014, Senator Charles Schumer introduced legislation  in the U.S. Senate to limit the First Amendment to allow greater control of spending during campaigns.  The measure, supported by 43 Democrats and opposed by all Republicans, was defeated, but the message was chilling: the First Amendment is no longer sacrosanct.

Free speech advocates have been equally disturbed by several White House regulatory actions.  The FCC’s attempt to place “monitors”   in newsrooms was knocked down, but not permanently ruled out, following vehement public objections.

This reduced devotion to free speech has not gone unnoticed by forces of repression across the globe. Like predators closing in on weakened prey, they are emboldened to attack, and will continue to expand their aggression until governments, universities, and the press regain their courage and forcefully push back against those who would eliminate free speech.

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White House, Congress Clash over NASA

January is an appropriate time to consider not just the months ahead but also the coming years.

Americans have been a future-oriented people, deeply concerned about providing a better future for their children and grandchildren. Somehow, that appears to have changed, as mounting debt and a need for immediate gratification has clouded the nations’ perspective.

One area where the two views have clashed is the space program. The House of Representatives has generally viewed NASA’s activities as essential to the economic future of the country.  The Obama Administration has been far less supportive, ending the space shuttle program prematurely and delaying its replacement, the Orion spacecraft, as the U.S. continues its dubious dependence of Russia to place astronauts into orbit.

The clash between the White House and the House was evident at a Space Sub Committee  hearing recently.

Chair Steven Palazzo (R-Miss.) noted:
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“It is no secret that this Committee is concerned that the support within NASA for the SLS and Orion is not matched by the Administration. While this lack of commitment is somewhat puzzling, it is not at all surprising. The President has made clear that he does not believe space exploration is a priority for the nation and has allowed political appointees within the administration to manipulate the course of our human space flight program. These decisions should be made by the scientists, engineers, and program managers that have decades of experience in human space flight…The Administration has consistently requested large reductions for these programs despite the insistence of Congress that they be priorities. Most recently, the President’s budget for Fiscal Year 2015 included a request to reduce these programs by over $330 million compared to the Fiscal Year 2014 enacted appropriation. Additionally, in the 2013, 2014, 2015 budget requests, the Administration asked for reductions of $175.1 million, $87 million, and  $144.2 million respectively for the Orion program relative to the enacted appropriations.

“Had Congress agreed to the requests, Orion and the SLS would have incurred hundreds of millions of dollars in reductions and would likely face significant delays and mass layoffs. Thankfully, Congress listened to the program managers and industry partners to ensure these programs were appropriately funded.

“Congress has once again demonstrated support for the SLS and Orion by providing funding well above the president’s budget request in the Omnibus for fiscal year 2015. While these priority programs may not enjoy support within the Administration, they certainly do from Congress.”

The White House continues to maintain that the American space program leads the world.

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Will 2015 be the year Iran gets the bomb?

Will 2015 be the year that Iran gets the nuclear bomb?

Negotiations that were supposed to end in November have been extended until next summer, giving Tehran the time it needs to complete work on its atomic weapons project. Combined with the nation’s advanced missile technology, most clearly seen in its Shahab-3 missiles that have a range of 1,300 miles and its rapidly progressing space program  which will give the nation an ICBM capability,  that spells great danger for the world.

According to the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies,  the problem is that Iran will only agree to restrictions on its nuclear activities as long as they do not ultimately bar its path to a bomb. In the 12 months of negotiations conducted under the interim agreement, Iran won one major policy victory and gained four major concessions in the nuclear domain.
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In addition to softening sanctions, Omri Ceren, writing for Commentary, notes that Washington has given up all its bargaining chips. “Gone is the demand that Iran dismantle its centrifuges…Gone is the demand that Iran cease all enrichment. The deal widely believed to be on the table would leave them spinning thousands of centrifuges.  Gone is the demand that Iran downgrade its plutonium reactor…Gone is the demand that Iran halt its proliferation-sensitive missile activity.”

Combined with North Korea’s nuclear program, 2015 may present the most dangerous nuclear threats the world has seen in decades.

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Will Obamacare Survive 2015?

Supporters of the Affordable Care Act, better known as Obamacare, may find 2015 troublesome.

The law may be increasingly criticized by those with rejected claims. Increasingly, reports from medical billers interviewed by the New York Analysis report that rejections of claims for coverage are being denied with great frequency. Further, many are finding that the rates are not as “affordable” as the title of the legislation suggests.

Much of the financial burden is being placed on Medicaid. According to the Heritage Foundation,  Medicaid enrollment increased by almost 6.1 million—principally as a result of Obamacare expanding eligibility to able-bodied, working-age adults.The Political Insider website has noted that “Across the nation, states from California to Rhode Island, are facing new concerns that their Medicaid costs will rise as a result of the federal health care law.”

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On March 4, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear the case of King v. Burwell.  In this case, the plaintiffs contend that the law only permits subsidies on state-run exchanges, making the federal versions essentially illegal. About 5 million people are covered under federal exchanges.

Ultimately, Obamacare’s political fate will hinge on how effectively and affordably it provides coverage. Indications are the critics, who have expressed concern about its cost to the nation, and the possibility that financial concerns will cause rationing of service, may be proved correct.

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Underreported News in 2014

With 2014 now solidly in the rearview mirror, it’s clear that several key issues were not adequately covered by the major media. To name just three:

DISCRIMINATION

News sources reported extensively on matters involving alleged discrimination in cases involving race. Yet one of the most significant discrimination stories continues to be underreported.

Unfair treatment of older workers has become increasingly prevalent. An early 2014 AARP  analysis found that the percentage of those ages 45—74 working full time has dropped 11 points since their 2002 survey. The percentage working part time has increased 5%, and the percent looking for work has increased 7%. This may at least partially coincide with a report by the Center for Immigration Studies  revealing all new jobs created in the past several years have gone to immigrants.

GLOBAL WARMING

While many key leaders, including the President, continue to advocate costly and economically burdensome measures to deal with global warming, the reality is, that particular problem has not been a factor for about 18 years.
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Scientists Patrick Michaels and Chip Knappenberger,  according to the Cato Institute, have found that “…observations show that the rise in the global average surface temperature has been little different (in the case of the University of East Anglia record, no different) from zero for the past 18 years or so. So instead of accelerating, global warming is actually decelerating, or, (nearly) stopped.

Despite the observations of Michaels, Knappenberger and others, expensive “solutions” to a problem that doesn’t actually exist to any harmful degree continue to be debated.

DEFENSE

Nothing should capture headlines more than Russian nuclear arms capable bombers flying along American coastlines, or nuclear subs stealthily patrolling near our shores. Both of these incidents have been occurring, but the readers and viewers of most major media sites didn’t hear very much about it.  Similarly, the news that President Obama withdrew all American tanks from Europe early in 2014 (Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine later prompted 150 to be returned) and the lack of any available US aircraft carrier for East Asia patrol in the first half of 2015 have also received scant notice.

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Top under reported stories of 2015

The 24 hour news cycle makes it hard to believe that any scrap of news didn’t get extensive coverage.  The reality is, however, the stories that may have the greatest impact in the very near future went underreported throughout 2015.  We review the most significant.

Russia’s rise to power: Yes, Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine was widely covered, but far less reported was the major buildup of the Russian military—except, of course, in the New York Analysis of Policy & Government and a small number of specialized publications. The change in the balance of power over recent years has been dramatic.  For the first time in history, the Kremlin has a greater nuclear force than the United States. Thanks to President Obama’s inexplicable and barely noted withdrawal of all American tanks from Europe (a few have since been returned) Moscow now has a significant advantage in conventional power in the European theater as well.  Putin’s reach extends far beyond Europe.  His nuclear bombers have resumed cold war patrols over the U.S. coastlines, as has his submarines. Combined with military agreements with Cuba and Nicaragua, the threat has been brought to America’s doorstep.

Mitt Romney, who noted this turn of events during his failed 2012 Presidential bid, was mocked at the time for his prediction.

China’s ascension to military dominance in Asia—and beyond. China’s aggressive acts, its establishment of military bases on rocky outcroppings in vital shipping lanes, and the intimidation of its neighbors were reported.  But little discussion, again except in specialty sites such as these pages, was held about why Beijing was able to do so without fear of retribution.  The fact is, China’s military has leaped to superpower status, and it is still growing dramatically.  It’s navy already has more submarines than its U.S. counterpart. By 2020, its fleet will be larger than America’s. There are consistent reports that its nuclear forces, secreted in a vast network of underground tunnels, may be the largest on the planet.  Its cyber warfare forces are vast and actively assault western military, civilian and corporate sites consistently. By stealing technological secrets from the West, Beijing has been able to construct a very highly advanced military at a fraction of the cost to U.S. taxpayers.

The new Axis of Evil.  The United States defeated the Soviet Union in the Cold War in part because of the Reagan military buildup, as well as the maintenance of a strong system of alliances and the cooperation of China. The tables have been turned.  China and Russia are now allies, training jointly in Asia, Europe, and elsewhere.  They are allied with Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Nicaragua, and others. The United States, over the past several years, has weakened its alliances both through diplomatic errors and outright policy reversals on the part of the Obama White House, as well as a growing international sense that the USA is no longer a reliable partner when the chips are down.  Certainly, the diminished pentagon budget plays a role in the worries America’s allies have in Washington’s ability, and willingness, to its treaty commitments.

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As the New York Analysis previously reported, 31,072 American scientists, including 9,029 with PH.D’s, have opposed the views of those who claim human factors have altered the climate.

They were joined by those concerned that unproven and faulty global warming theories are being used as an excuse to enhance governmental authority, establish a more centralized economy, and enrich special interests. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce cites the astounding cost of the White House’s preferences, estimated at $50 billion annually.

With both the President and the media favoring the views of the climate change adherents, relatively little unbiased information has been made available to the public.

Even some advocates of global warming have objected to governmental intervention. Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT, quoted in infowars.com,  notes that the changes due to global warming are too small to account for.  He stated that in the January 2014 article that  “Global warming, climate change, all these things are just a dream come true for politicians. The opportunities for taxation, for policies, for control, for crony capitalism are just immense, you can see their eyes bulge.”

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The Fate of Freedom

As the New Year gets under way, it is useful to take a look around the world to see how that most important of American ideals—freedom—has fared.

Unfortunately, the state of personal rights across the world has declined continuously during the past several years.

China is cited as being increasingly intolerant of dissent, moving to criminalize online speech and imprisoning anticorruption advocates. Russia, too, continues its slide back to dictatorship.

According to Freedom House, 54 nations demonstrated declines in political rights and civil liberties, compared with 40 that saw gains. According to the organization, many leaders rely on what is described as “modern authoritarianism,” in which the opposition is essentially rendered ineffective but not totally obliterated. Government officials flout the law when convenient, keeping a veneer of order, legitimacy and prosperity. National media, judiciary, civil society, economic and security forces are all under the thumb of leadership.
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Although not discussed by Freedom House, Americans shouldn’t feel immune to the grow trend of authoritarianism, either in our government or in our academic institutions. Consider the growing opposition to free speech on our college campuses, and the lack of backbone demonstrated by Hollywood when criticized by either foreign dictators or intolerant domestic pressure groups.

Our own White House has flouted the law and constitutional procedure numerous times, choosing to not enforce laws it disagreed with.

Freedom is indeed fragile, and requires constant vigilance.

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U.S. unprepared for cyber attack

According to Dr. Daniel Goure, “The United States is woefully unprepared to deal with the inevitability of a major cyber attack.”

Writing for the Lexington Institute,  Dr. Goure notes that hacks of companies such as Sony, Home Depot, and Target are mere warnings of much greater dangers to come.

The Department of Homeland Security  emphasizes that “Our daily life, economic vitality, and national security depend on a stable, safe, and resilient cyberspace. We rely on this vast array of networks to communicate and travel, power our homes, run our economy, and provide government services. Yet cyber intrusions and attacks have increased dramatically over the last decade, exposing sensitive personal and business information, disrupting critical operations, and imposing high costs on the economy.”
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According to the Department of Defense  citing a November 29 discussion, Navy Adm. James G. Stavridis said “cybersecurity is a priority within the [NATO] alliance, and member nations are taking steps to both improve distribution of intelligence and protect its networks…Cyber attacks have occurred, and the threat is growing. The attacks are often tough to attribute, can cause immense damage and can be launched by nations, terrorists, criminal gangs or individuals.”

Despite the widespread criticism of the recent Sony hack, North Korea’s government has not been shunned by several nations. Vladimir Putin invited Kim Jong-un to Moscow to join in next year’s 70th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s role in the defeat of Nazi Germany.

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Happy New Year from the New York Analysis of Policy & Government

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New Russian military doctrine

According to Russian news sources,the Russian Federation has updated its military doctrine. NATO is listed as a top threat.

The update was approved last week by President Putin, and includes the worrisome tenet that Moscow would use nuclear weapons in response to what it perceives to be a nonnuclear threat.  Moscow, which has a ten to one advantage over the US in tactical nuclear weapons, has placed short-range ISKANDER missiles on its border with Europe.

The update also reemphasizes Russia’s military interest in the Arctic region.

NATO  strongly disagrees with Moscow’s assessment.

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“As stated by NATO heads of state and government at the Wales Summit in September, “the Alliance does not seek confrontation and poses no threat to Russia. But we cannot and will not compromise on the principles on which our Alliance and security in Europe and North America rest.” …NATO has reached out to Russia consistently, transparently and publicly over the past 25 years.

“The Alliance has created unique cooperation bodies – the Permanent Joint Council and the NATO-Russia Council – to embody its relationship with Russia. It has invited Russia to cooperate on missile defence, an invitation extended to no other partner.

“In the Founding Act on Mutual Relations, Cooperation and Security, agreed with Russia in 1997 and reaffirmed at NATO-Russia summits in Rome in 2002 and in Lisbon in 2010, NATO stated that “in the current and foreseeable security environment, the Alliance will carry out its collective defence and other missions by ensuring the necessary interoperability, integration, and capability for reinforcement rather than by additional permanent stationing of substantial combat forces“. The Alliance has fulfilled all such commitments…Thus, neither the Alliance’s policies nor its actions are a threat to Russia.”