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Quick Analysis

U.S. faces most serious military peril since War of 1812

The United States is in more peril from military threats than at any time since the British burned the White House in the War of 1812. This is the result of both the de-funding of the armed forces, and the extraordinary threats from Russia, China, and other aggressive powers.

According to the Government Accountability Office,

“Over the past year, the overall size of DOD’s major defense acquisition program portfolio decreased, from 80 programs to 78, while the estimated cost has decreased by $7.6 billion. The size and cost of the portfolio is currently the lowest in a decade.”

While Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea continue to engage in massive arms buildups, the United States continues to act as if threats are decreasing. A recent article by the House Armed Services Committee member Rep. Randy Forbes and the American Enterprise Institutes’ Jim Talent, a  former U.S. Senator, published in Real Clear Defense , outlined the critical state of the military.

“-Under sequestration, the Army will be cut to 420,000 soldiers, its smallest size since 1941. Training will be reduced for most units to only platoon and company-level exercises. Modernization will be reduced, forcing the service to rely on equipment purchased during the Reagan build-up;

“-Today’s Air Force inventory of fighters, bombers, among others, is the oldest and smallest in the history of the service. Less than half of the service’s combat squadrons are fully ready today. Under the full impact of sequestration, readiness will plummet and the number of fighter, bomber and surveillance units will be reduced again by half. Also affected will be the Air Force’s ability to provide strike, close-air support and surveillance to protect a more vulnerable smaller army;
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“- The size of the fleet will shrink, per the Chief of Naval Operations, to a regional force of about 250 ships, possibly lower. By 2020, US naval forces assigned to the Western Pacific will total only one-third to one-fourth of the size of China’s growing modern fleet which will be between 325 to 350 ships. Moreover, the ability to reinforce that diminished fleet, as measured by the Navy’s contingency response force, will continue to decline as readiness continues to decline;

“- The Commandant of the Marine Corps, testified on February 26 that one half of his non-deployed units suffer from shortfalls in personnel, equipment and training under the current limited impact of sequestration. The full impact of sequestration, he explained, would force the Marine Corps “to divest ourselves of people …or to stop training.”

According to a National Defense Panel Review 

“…the defense budget cuts mandated by the Budget Control Act (BCA) of 2011, coupled with the additional cuts and constraints on defense management under the law’s sequestration provision, constitute a serious strategic misstep on the part of the United States. Not only have they caused significant investment shortfalls in U.S. military readiness and both present and future capabilities, they have prompted our current and potential allies and adversaries to question our commitment and resolve. Unless reversed, these shortfalls will lead to a high risk force in the near future. That in turn will lead to an America that is not only less secure but also far less prosperous. In this sense, these cuts are ultimately self-defeating. The effectiveness of America’s other tools for global influence, such as diplomacy and economic engagement, are critically intertwined with and dependent upon the perceived strength, presence, and commitment of U.S. … the capabilities and capacities rightly called for in the 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review… clearly exceed the budget resources made available …. This gap is disturbing if not dangerous in light of the fact that global threats and challenges are rising, including a troubling pattern of territorial assertiveness and regional intimidation on China’s part, the recent aggression of Russia in Ukraine, nuclear proliferation on the part of North Korea and Iran, a serious insurgency in Iraq that both reflects and fuels the broader sectarian conflicts in the region, the civil war in Syria, and civil strife in the larger Middle East and throughout Africa.”

Both the White House and the media continue to ignore this most dire of all crises facing the nation. The consequences will be inevitably grave.

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U.S. Chamber issues warnings & Recommendations

U.S. Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Tom Donohue voiced both warnings and recommendations for the troubled American economy in his organizations’ 2015 State of American Business Address.  Below are key excerpts:

We can’t forget that 17.7 million Americans are still unemployed, underemployed, or have given up looking for work. Participation in the workforce stands at 62.7%, the lowest since 1978, reflecting a significant level of discouragement.

“Current policies have eroded our economy’s long-term potential rate of growth,” said Donohue:

It would be a serious mistake to think that higher taxes, a bigger debt, and more regulations can deliver more growth, jobs, and prosperity. They will deliver less.

Here are 13 issues from Donohue’s speech that Washington can address to encourage stronger and deeper economic growth:

  1. Trade.

The administration is negotiating two historic trade agreements—the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. The Chamber has supported these initiatives from the very beginning.

The president has said that he is committed to finishing the job on both pacts, but he’s going to need Trade Promotion Authority from the Congress to do it. He must really fight for it, especially before members of his own party. Enacting TPA so that we can finish these agreements is one of our top legislative priorities for this year.

  1. Energy.

Even with the recent decline in energy prices, abundant domestic energy still stands out as an extraordinary opportunity to generate millions of jobs, billions in revenues for government, and trillions in new investment while securing affordable energy for American consumers.

Congress and the administration should take the needed steps to unleash this energy revolution in an environmentally responsible way—and we should reform export rules so that we can sell this energy when appropriate around the world.

  1. The Internet.

We recognize that the issue of net neutrality divides the tech community, but there can be no neutrality as far as the Chamber is concerned. We oppose efforts to regulate the Internet as if it were a 20th century public utility.

The Internet is one of the greatest drivers of prosperity and innovation in our economy. We need to develop better and smarter frameworks for data security and sharing—but the system must remain open, flexible, and innovative—and excessive government regulation of the Internet would just kill that goose.

  1. Infrastructure.

We’re asking Congress to pass a long-term highway and mass transit bill with full funding—along with appropriate reforms. We must fully fund our aviation and water systems as well.

  1. Immigration Reform.

We are renewing our call for commonsense measures that not only better secure our borders but also provide the American economy with the workers it needs at all skill levels, improve the employment verification system, and deal with undocumented immigrants.

  1. Regulatory Reform.

Business recognizes the need for smart regulations. But with a $2 trillion price tag in compliance costs imposed by a virtual fourth branch of government, it’s time to bring the system into the 21st century.

The Chamber will launch an all-out effort to pass three regulatory reform bills that already enjoy significant bipartisan support in both the House and the Senate. The bills would modernize the process by which new rules are considered and promulgated, bring transparency and accountability to the now abusive process known as “sue and settle,” and streamline the permitting process once regulations are in place.

  1. EPA.

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While we strongly support technological solutions to address greenhouse gas emissions, we do not believe that regulation of these emissions through the Clean Air Act is appropriate or workable.

  1. Health Care.

We support congressional efforts to restore the 40-hour workweek to define who must be covered under the employer health care mandate. We’ll work to repeal taxes such as the medical device tax, the Cadillac tax, and the health insurance tax.

  1. Financial Regulation.

We need a modern regulatory system that both drives financial stability and encourages capital formation.

The Chamber has supported positive steps to strengthen corporate governance. However, we will continue to vigorously oppose using the proxy to advance special interest agendas. We will also continue to push for reform of secretive proxy advisory firms.

The Chamber will also seek further targeted fixes to Dodd-Frank. For example, the Financial Stability Oversight Council is considering overdue and necessary changes to its systemically important designation process.

In addition, both the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and the Treasury Department’s Office of Financial Research ought to be placed under the appropriations process.

  1. Tax Reform.

The United States has the highest corporate tax rate in the developed world. We adhere to a system of “world-wide” taxation discarded by most other major countries. As a result, American businesses pay taxes twice, first to the foreign country in which they do business and then to Uncle Sam after they bring their profits home.

And since 28 million businesses pay their taxes as individuals, we also need reform at the same time on the individual side of the code. We need to end the bias against investment and spur small business startups, which have been lagging for a protracted period of time yet are absolutely critical to new job growth.

Republican leaders and the president all say that tax reform will be a priority in 2015. The Chamber plans to be at the table—on the theory that if you are not at the table, then you are on the menu. We will encourage genuine efforts to create a simpler, fairer, pro-growth tax system. We will not support an approach that uses tax reform as an excuse to engineer another big tax increase on the American business community.

  1. Debt, Deficits, and Entitlement Reform.

More than anything else, the nation’s massive debt is being driven by entitlement costs. By 2024, federal spending will be $5.8 trillion, and more than 76% of that will go to mandatory programs plus interest on the national debt. That leaves less than 24% for national defense, important domestic programs, and everything else.

America’s leaders need to start telling the American people the truth. The entitlement crisis is an entirely predictable crisis. It demands action and leadership without further delay.

  1. Legal Reform.

America still has the costliest legal system in the world.

Even more disturbing, America’s enforcement system has turned into a shakedown operation. Enforcement officials find a company that may or may not have done something wrong, threaten its managers with commercial ruin, and then force them to pay an enormous fine to drop—or not file—the charges.

Our agenda includes curbing these excesses, plus reforming legal systems in key states and jurisdictions, preserving the availability of arbitration, passing the FACT Act to help prevent fraudulent asbestos claims, and challenging foreign governments that are foolishly considering the adoption of American-style class action lawsuits.

  1. Education.

We must ramp up efforts to reform public schools—to toughen the standards and measure them against prior years so that we know when students are falling behind. We also need to remove bad teachers and pay good teachers more, create more innovative charter schools, and ensure that parental choice is an option not just in wealthy communities but in all communities.

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A move towards modernity in Egypt

The Egyptian government, under President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, is creating a radically different Middle Eastern government, one that directly combats terrorism and advocates a more modern role for Islamic nations.  Strangely, the Obama administration isn’t pleased, citing Cairo’s harsh treatment of the radical Moslem Brotherhood and other opposition voices. While criticizing el-Sisi, the White House remained relatively restrained on massive human rights violations by the virulently anti-American Iranian regime.

The moves by el-Sisi are part of his direct confrontation against terrorist influences within his nation.  He has closed down Mosques that reportedly are little more than centers for Islamic extremists. He has called for a reformation of the Moslem religion’s proclivity for violence and intolerance.

The Egyptian President has moved to improve his nation’s fragile economy, addressing energy concerns, and initiating a $4 billion project to enhance the Suez Canal. Perhaps his most spectacular effort has been the “Capitalcairo”  initiative, a project to build a new urban environment that will be a center for commerce, government administration, and cosmopolitan living.
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According to the Egyptian government, “With over 10,000 km of boulevards, avenues and streets, the city will be pedestrian-friendly. It will have vibrant recreational spaces to bring people together. It will be buzzing with life day and night. Cairo Capital is a momentous endeavour to build national spirit, foster consensus, provide for long-term sustainable growth and address various issues faced by Egypt through a new city, which will create more places to live, work and visit.The masterplan is to create a global city with smart infrastructure for Egypt’s future, which will provide a multitude of economic opportunities and offer a distinct quality of life.”

The most notable aspect of this project is an apparent commitment to modernity.  Illustrations portray a population devoid of the extremist restrictions on female dress.

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Nuclear missile and bomber threats against U.S. homeland escalate

As the New York Analysis of Policy & Government has reported previously, the rapid and intense increase in threats to the national security of the United States has been largely un-addressed by the White House and under-reported by the major media. Two days ago, NORAD‘s   commander testified before the U.S. Senate. We present the key part of his comments.

STATEMENT OF ADMIRAL WILLIAM E. GORTNEY, UNITED STATES NAVY COMMANDER UNITED STATES NORTHERN COMMAND AND NORTH AMERICAN AEROSPACE DEFENSE COMMAND BEFORE THE SENATE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE MARCH 12, 2015

The past year has marked a notable increase in Russian military assertiveness on the world stage, including in the approaches to the homelands. Russian heavy bombers flew more out-of-area patrols in 2014 than in any year since the Cold War. We have also witnessed improved interoperability between Russian long-range aviation and other elements of the Russian military, including air and maritime intelligence collection platforms positioned to monitor NORAD responses. While these patrols serve a training function for Russian air crews, 5 some are clearly intended to underscore Moscow’s global reach and communicate its displeasure with Western policies, particularly with regard to Ukraine. Meanwhile, Russia is progressing toward its goal of deploying long-range, conventionally-armed cruise missiles with ever increasing stand-off launch distances on its heavy bombers, submarines and surface combatants, augmenting the Kremlin’s toolkit of flexible deterrent options short of the nuclear threshold. Should these trends continue, over time NORAD will face increased risk in our ability to defend North America against Russian air, maritime, and cruise missile threats.
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We remain vigilant against states that may seek to put North America at risk with ballistic missiles. Today we are focused primarily on North Korea and Iran, as both seek to advance their nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities. North Korea has successfully test detonated three nuclear devices and, through its space program, has demonstrated many of the technologies required for an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) that could target the continental United States. Meanwhile, North Korean military parades have showcased the new KN08 road-mobile ICBM. When deployed, this system will complicate our ability to provide warning and defend against an attack. Iran has likewise committed considerable resources to enhancing its ballistic missile capabilities and has already placed another satellite into orbit this year using a new booster that could serve as a demonstrator for ICBM technologies.

Despite international condemnation and sanctions, Iran has failed to cooperate fully with the International Atomic Energy Agency to resolve all outstanding concerns regarding its nuclear program, particularly those concerning its possible military dimensions. While we remain hopeful that current negotiations with the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council plus Germany (P5+1) will lead to a 6 diplomatic solution which addresses the international community’s concerns regarding Iran’s nuclear program comprehensively and in a durable fashion, we will continue to remain vigilant.

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Seniors slammed by Fed policy

At a recent meeting between the Federal Reserve and a number of concerned citizens groups, the issue of how the Fed’s policy of hiding the nation’s economic crisis by artificially keeping interest rates low was raised by Jim Martin, who chairs the 60+ Association.

 Seniors have had a tough time during the past few years. Martin noted that “Social Security cost of living increases have added up to a meager 8% since 2009, while the cost of medical care can increase 8% in a single year. Seniors are paying much more to light their homes, cook their food, and keep warm, and food prices are soaring.  A few examples, since 2009 the cost of beef has risen 35%, dairy products are up 16%, seafood is up 20%, and most produce staples are up in the double digits.”

For millions commander viagra of men, regardless of background and age, issues with sexual performance arise. For anyone of you who has been suffering from a long-term illness, it may also lead to impotence in males, which is the inability to gain and maintain http://djpaulkom.tv/dj-paul-and-malay-produce-yelawolfs-new-track-honey-brown-listen-here/ generic india viagra bigger, harder and longer lasting erections. Instead of purchasing original brands of best viagra price , one can buy its generic version. It is found to be as a perfect composition of 25 viagra 50mg no prescription alkaloids, vitamins, minerals and polysaccharides. In addition to the historically low social security cost of living increases, the federal Reserves’ policy of low interest has deprived seniors of income from their hard-earned savings.

Much of what has been done economically, including the White House policies that seek to keep energy prices high by restricting the use of low-cost fuel sources and preventing resource exploitation on federal lands, hits many seniors even harder than the general population.

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Is U.S. safety and national security being outsourced?

Americans should be distinctly uncomfortable knowing that many critical components for both our civilian and military infrastructure are increasingly imported, and in some cases, imported from nations that are our adversaries.

In the aftermath of the devastating attack on Pearl Harbor, it was the resilience of the U.S. manufacturing sector that made the rebuilding of the fleet possible and insured eventual victory. But currently, a disaster, whether from an enemy assault or from a natural catastrophe, might not have a similar positive outcome.

A report prepared for the Alliance for American Manufacturing  by former Governor Tom Ridge, who served as the first Secretary for Homeland Security, and USAF Col. Robet B. Stephan (ret.)  who served as the first Senior Director for Critical Infrastructure Protection for the White House outlines the issue.

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“Unfortunately, at its own peril, the U.S. has become dangerously reliant on foreign suppliers of products, materials and technologies that are critical to our ability to prepare for, respond to and recover from manmade and naturally occurring disasters. This situation could present serious problems in the context of a catastrophic event, particularly one brought about by a creative adversary with a working knowledge of nodal analysis and our supply chain interdependencies, or a natural disaster with acute, far-reaching international supply chain implications. As succinctly put in a WorldSteel Association report examining the nexus between the U.S steel industry and national defense, ‘Consider the potential difficulties the U.S. would face in defending, maintaining and rebuilding infrastructure in an environment where our nation is largely dependent upon foreign steel…’

“This negative trend signifying the decline of the U.S. industrial base has accelerated greatly in recent years, with a corresponding increase in our reliance on critical products and technologies manufactured abroad. For example, China is now the leading supplier of foreign steel to the U.S. market.”

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Regulating America into bankruptcy

The Competitive Enterprise Institute has released a troubling report on the impact of federal regulation on America’s economy.

The study finds that that Washington’s requirements impose a heavy burden on the nation, costing $1.863 trillion annually; that’s 11.1% of the U.S. GDP.  Compliance costs the private sector more than the entire corporate income tax. Administering this vast body of regulations, which outnumber actual laws by a factor of 51 to one, costs as much as $57.3 billion.

The actual price tag for each household stands at $14,974 each year, more than the average spent by families for food, transportation, entertainment, apparel, or services.
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Four of the five all-time high Federal Register page counts have occurred under the Obama Administration.  Pages devoted to final rules have risen to an all-time high of 26,417. The problem is getting worse. 3,305 new regulations are in the pipeline, many affecting small business at a time when they are exceptionally vulnerable.

CEI notes that agencies have failed to examine whether the alleged benefits from all this red tape exceeds the dramatic costs. There is an even more central question: should—and is it constitutional–that this extraordinary level of control over the actions of U.S. citizens and businesses be delegated to unelected agencies?

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Favoring illegal immigrants over those seeking legal entry

While state governments struggle to provide services to U.S. citizens, significant numbers of illegals threaten to bankrupt budgets. Those seeking to entire the U.S. lawfully wait decades for permission, as the White House proposes to provide benefits to those entering the nation without permission.

Clearly, the U.S. immigration system is broken.  Illegals, many without needed skills and potentially bearing contagious diseases, continue to stream across the southern border. The vast majority of those unlawfully entering the U.S. do so in an understandable quest for a better life. But along with them are those who seek to expand Mexico’s serious drug and organized crime empire. In addition, the relatively easy and unsupervised access to America provides a tempting pathway for terrorists and others who seek to do great harm to the nation.

There is significant political pressure to simply ignore violations of the law and provide illegals a path to citizenship. In stark contrast, individuals throughout the globe, many with needed skills, endure exceptionally lengthy waiting periods as they faithfully comply with all legal procedures. For some, the opportunity to achieve their dream of becoming proud naturalized Americans contributing to their adopted homeland’s fortunes may never be realized.

While those seeking to immigrate legally (about 4.2 million) abide by the law and await due process, the president has engaged in constitutionally questionable executive action delaying deportations of illegals who have been discovered, providing them with work permits and benefits. Those benefits place extraordinary pressure on governmental budgets already strained to the breaking point.   A 2007 study by the Congressional Budget Office   found that even though unauthorized immigrants may pay some taxes and fees, “the resulting revenues offset only a portion of the costs incurred for providing services related to education, health care, and law enforcement.”

The failure to halt the high numbers of illegals threatens to bankrupt state governments. According to the American Legislative Exchange Council,  “Many states are facing harsh economic realities—meanwhile, citizens are demanding greater accountability on how their tax dollars are spent.  In many states, citizens are voicing concerns over the escalating cost of the welfare portion of the state budget, which is quickly outpacing other state funding priorities. The easiest way to…stop the perceived and real abuses within the welfare system is to prevent it in the first place by reducing the number of new enrollments.  Front-end fraud prevention is the logical method to avoid the cost of investigation and prosecution later.”

The New York Analysis has reviewed a number of approaches to this problem. None are more comprehensive or more rooted in common sense than the ten step approach recently provided by the Heritage Foundation. It includes:

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  1. Overriding and removing existing executive orders, agency memorandums, or other executive policy directives that ignore or contradict existing law;
  2. Allowing immigration agencies to enforce and apply the law without workplace interference, political pressure, or procedural obstacles;
  3. Providing the Customs and Border Protection (CBP) agency with a fully operational system of sensor and camera technologies and infrastructure on the southwest border to multiply the efficacy of their efforts;
  4. Using the appropriate judicial and administrative tools efficiently to remove and return unlawful immigrants to their home countries;
  5. Increasing enforcement against businesses that knowingly employ unlawful labor;
  6. Engaging with international partners and remaining committed to citizen security and democratic governance in the Western Hemisphere;
  7. Making U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), more efficient and effective;
  8. Reporting accurate immigration data to Congress and the American people in a truthful, consistent, and complete manner;
  9. Soliciting the assistance and support of the states in enforcing immigration laws and limiting the effectiveness of those governments that attempt to frustrate enforcement with sanctuary policies; and
  10. Verifying the success of these actions through honest and accurate Census survey data of the unlawful immigrant population.

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Bringing democracy to legislatures

The ongoing, and somewhat ironic, battle to bring democracy to elected legislatures gained some ground recently in one state, but even there, the war is far from over.

Excessive power wielded by legislative leaders and committee chairs makes a mockery of the democratic process. The roles of the overwhelming majority of legislators is reduced to meaninglessness when leadership and committee chairs have the ability to block any legislation they dislike.  This has led to corruption and an inability to address key concerns.

Last month, however, Republicans in  one state’s upper chamber, The New York State Senate passed legislation that would set into law eight-year term limits for leadership positions in that state’s Senate and Assembly.

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The bill limits the tenure of the Temporary President of the Senate, Speaker of the Assembly, and minority leaders of both houses to eight years. Legislative committee chairs would also be limited to serving no more than eight consecutive years.

Unfortunately, the Democrat-dominated State Assembly is expected to reject the measure, so the odds of this common sense and common decency initiative becoming law are not high.

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Reagan’s lesson on how to confront Jihad

A victory won three decades ago may be a guidepost on how to defeat the threat from Islamic extremists today, according to a study by the Center for Security Policy (CSC).

In the 1980’s, President Ronald Reagan accomplished what many said was impossible: confronting and defeating the mighty Soviet Empire, without going to war.

It is important to remember what the world was like as the 1970’s drew to a close.  The United States was reeling from its retreat from Vietnam. The national morale remained low in the aftermath of the Watergate scandal. Americans were held hostage in Tehran. Moscow seemed poised to become the most powerful force on the planet.

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CSC notes that the global Jihad movement threatens America’s national security and human rights. It advises that the U.S. take a clear-eyed view of this, and respond accordingly. CSC suggests that Reagan’s “Peace through Strength” concept be reemployed, rather than the timid policies of unnecessary apology, retreat and appeasement that characterize the approach currently being taken.  Just as Reagan boldly endorsed America’s legacy of individual freedom, CSC suggests that the U.S. should expose and refute the inhumane policies of the Islamic extremists.

Reagan won his war, and the current Administration is losing theirs.  Clearly, it is time for a return to the successful policies that won President Reagan the admiration of his nation and the world.