Foreign Policy Update – USA Gov Policy

RUSSIA/CHINA

It appears America’s adversaries are sowing presidential election discontent. The Russians, according to US Government sources in the intelligence community (IC), want to see President Trump re-elected, while the Chinese favor Biden. Beijing is concerned about stability and its inability to predict the President’s next policy moves and his staunch insistence that China abide by the rules-based international order. Moscow views Biden as part of an anti-Putin clique and prefers the current Administration. In the 2016 election cycle the IC supported Hillary Clinton and sought to undo the Trump campaign as it was viewed as less sympathetic toward Russia. The CIA, DDHS and the FBI are working together to assure that this election cycle is free from foreign interference.

In addition to attempted election interference, Russia is disseminating false information about the Covid-19 virus. In a special briefing at the State Department, US Special Envoy Lea Gabrielle, provided the first-ever comprehensive analysis of Russia’s disinformation and propaganda ecosystem. She said that COVID-19 is not the only topic that Russia is spreading false information about. Proxy sites are only part of a “much larger ecosystem of disinformation.” She said that the motivations are the typical motivations that one sees from the Russian Federation, which is undermining democratic institutions, undermining the U.S. and the West, looking to spread fear and confusion, and to essentially publish or push out narratives that create division among Western and democratic audiences.

HONG KONG

“The Chinese Communist Party has made clear that Hong Kong will never again enjoy the high degree of autonomy that Beijing itself promised to the Hong Kong people and the United Kingdom for 50 years,” according to a written statement on Friday by Secretary of State Michael Pompeo. He stated that President Trump has made clear that the US will treat Hong Kong as “one country, one system,” and take action against individuals who have crushed the Hong Kong people’s freedoms.

The US government decided to sanction 11 individuals in Hong Kong who are abusing their power by “coercing, arresting, detaining, or imprisoning individuals under the authority of, or having been responsible for or involved in developing, adopting, or implementing, the Law of the People’s Republic of China on Safeguarding National Security in Hong Kong. The designated leaders include Carrie Lam, Beijing’s de facto surrogate administrator and a tool of CCP repression.

IRAN

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In a press briefing on Wednesday Secretary of State Michael Pompeo said that the US will not be rescinding sanctions against Iran on October 18. He called the US mission set “unambiguous” and added that one of the central failings of the JCPOA, which is a bad thing for the world, is that it allows Iran to buy and sell, including the recent Iran-China agreement. Pompeo noted that China’s entry into the Middle will further destabilize the region and put Israel at risk.

EQUADOR

The Ecuadorian government is raising the alarm about hundreds of PRC-flagged vessels fishing near Ecuador’s important Galápagos marine reserve over concerns it is harvesting endangered sharks for their fins, along with many other protected species. The State Department Spokesperson said the US firmly supports Ecuador’s efforts to ensure PRC-flagged vessels do not engage in illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing and stand with those whose economies and natural resources are “threatened by PRC-flagged vessels’ disregard for the rule of law and responsible fishing practices.”

China subsidizes the world’s largest commercial fishing fleet. It routinely violates the sovereign rights and jurisdiction of coastal states, fishes without permission, and overfishes licensing agreements. China’s record of illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing, rule-breaking, and willful environmental degradation calls for the international community stands together for the rule of law and insists on better environmental stewardship from Beijing, according to the Administration.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government. Each Saturday, she presents key updates on U.S. foreign policy from the State Department.

Illustration: Pixabay

Quick Analysis

America’s Naval Crisis

On September 19, Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Adm. Lisa M. Franchetti, America’s top admiral underscored the imperative for the Navy to meet the demands of an evolving technology and national security landscape. She did so in the context of the release of the “Navigation Plan for America’s Warfighting Navy 2024,” during a discussion hosted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a public policy think tank in Washington. The plan outlines two overarching strategic ends: readiness for the possibility of war with China by 2027 and enhancement of the Navy’s long-term advantage. “China is clearly the pacing challenge,” she said. “They are on a wartime footing.” Franchetti added that China presents a multidomain challenge encompassing not only military, but also economic competition.” She emphasized China’s lack of transparency about its actions around the globe, and its affinity for use of dual-use technologies to accomplish its aims. The Admiral discussed the changing nature of war and the imperative to adopt robotic and autonomous technology and the reach and lethality of the fleet as key guide rails for the strategy going forward. The plan includes seven, core fleet readiness that include: Ready the force by eliminating ship, submarine and aircraft maintenance delays; Scale robotic and autonomous systems to integrate more platforms at speed; Create the command centers the fleets need to win on a distributed battlefield; Recruit and retain the force need to get more players on the field; Deliver a quality of service commensurate with the sacrifices of American sailors; Train for combat as the U.S. plans to fight, in the real world and virtually; and Restore the critical infrastructure that sustains and projects the fight from shore. Franchetti said the navigation plan captures how the Navy can think, act and operate differently with the resources it has to make the most gains in the shortest time possible. “If you look at the ways we’re trying to do that, which are really seven areas that as I worked with my team, with our four-star fleet commanders, these are areas that I can put my thumb on the scale,” she said. “We could make a difference in those areas, and it will make a meaningful contribution to our ability to be more ready by 2027. The plan also lays out the Navy’s plan to expand its contribution to the joint warfighting ecosystem, building upon the implementation framework for fielding key capabilities outlined in the 2022 Navigation Plan, with an additional focus on scaling robotic autonomous systems. The implementation framework focuses on five capabilities ranging from long-range fires to contested logistics. It also focuses on four key enablers ranging from artificial intelligence to robotic and autonomous systems. She diplomatically noted that domestic fiscal and industrial base constraints add to the Navy’s challenge, she said, as the service recognizes the need to grow its fleet. That’s a politically polite way to state that the American service is outnumbered drastically by China. It also tacitly recognizes that combat with China, and perhaps with its adversaries combined against the U.S., is becoming a near certainty by 2027. Defense expert Mackenzie Eagleton warns that “When it comes to putting hulls in the water, Beijing is far and away ahead of the United States. China has continuously outpaced the U.S. in shipbuilding capabilities and shipyard capacity. Indeed, the shipbuilding divide between China and the United States is vast. A recently declassified intelligence slide from the Office of Naval Intelligence estimates that China has 232 times the shipbuilding capability of the United States, owing to its much larger shipbuilding manufacturing industry. Stunningly, in the face of an almost certain war in the next few years, the lack of investment in the U.S. Navy by the Biden-Harris Administration has received almost no attention in the media. Photo: Gunner’s Mate 2nd Class Jonathan Salazar and Gunner’s Mate 2nd Class Charles Reece manually fire the Mark 38 Mod 3 25 mm machine gun system during a pre-action calibration firing exercise aboard the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Bulkeley (U.S. Navy photo)

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