Month: March 2020

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Foreign Policy Update

Information from the U.S. State Department

IRAN AND NUCLEAR WEAPONS

On March 3 in Vienna, IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi issued two new reports that heighten already serious concerns that the Islamic Republic of Iran is hiding its nuclear material and nuclear activities.

Iran is a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty.  Iran’s safeguards agreements, under that Treaty, require it to declare nuclear material to the IAEA and provide IAEA inspectors with access for verification.  Iran’s intentional failure to declare such nuclear material would be a clear violation of its safeguards agreement required by the Non-Proliferation Treaty.  The regime must immediately cooperate with the IAEA and fully comply with its IAEA safeguards obligations.  Otherwise, the NPT isn’t worth the paper it is written on.

The IAEA’s latest reports are all the more troubling because we know that Iran continues to lie about its past nuclear weapons program and concealed a vast archive of records from those efforts when it concluded the nuclear deal – not to mention its lies about downing a civilian airliner, and its suppression of the extent of its coronavirus outbreak.  Given Iran’s prior covert nuclear weapons program and ignominious record of duplicity, any undeclared nuclear material or activities in Iran today would be an extremely serious matter.

The United States remains committed to denying Iran any pathway to a nuclear weapon.  In light of Iran’s past nuclear weapons program, it is imperative that Iran verifiably demonstrate that it has permanently abandoned all such work.  Any new deal addressing nuclear concerns in Iran must be built on robust and effective verification.

The international community must speak clearly and with one voice:  full and transparent cooperation with the IAEA and compliance with the NPT is the only path forward for Iran.

BIASED INVESTIGATION REGARDING AFGHANISTAN

Today, the International Criminal Court (ICC) Appeals Chamber authorized an investigation into the alleged activities of the Taliban and U.S. and Afghan personnel related to Afghanistan.  This is a truly breathtaking action by an unaccountable political institution, masquerading as a legal body.

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It is all the more reckless for this ruling to come just days after the United States signed a historic peace deal on Afghanistan – the best chance for peace in a generation.  Indeed, the Afghan government, itself, pleaded with the ICC to not take this course.  But the ICC politicians had other goals.

The United States is not a party to the ICC, and we will take all necessary measures to protect our citizens from this renegade, so-called court.

This is yet another reminder of what happens when multilateral bodies lack oversight and responsible leadership, and become instead a vehicle for political vendettas.  The ICC has today stumbled into a sorry affirmation of every denunciation made by its harshest critics over the past three decades.

 NUCLEAR NONPROLIFERATION

he Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, commonly known as the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is the cornerstone of the nuclear nonproliferation regime. The three main aspects of the NPT are nonproliferation, disarmament, and peaceful uses of nuclear technology. The nonproliferation aspect is the foundation of the NPT: it has enabled past progress on nuclear disarmament and facilitated the spread of peaceful nuclear technology for development across the globe. Adherence to the NPT’s nonproliferation provisions- and the improved international security environment this enables- remains the key to future progress on nuclear disarmament and the further spread of peaceful nuclear technology. 

The NPT entered into force in 1970, was extended indefinitely in 1995, and has become nearly universal.  This Treaty has made the world safer and more prosperous for all States Party, and it remains one of the most successful treaties ever negotiated.  All NPT Parties are more security because the NPT has helped prevent additional states from acquiring nuclear weapons. An effective nuclear nonproliferation regime provides confidence that facilitates cooperation to share the benefits of peaceful uses of nuclear energy and fosters a security environment that has enabled dramatic reductions in nuclear stockpiles and is essential for future progress on nuclear disarmament. 

The United States remains dedicated to preserving and strengthening the nuclear nonproliferation regime, on which the Treaty is based, for future generations.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government.  Each Saturday, she presents key updates on U.S. foreign policy from the State Department.

Illustration: Pixabay

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China’s Leadership, and the Virus

The Chinese leadership’s management of the Covid-19 virus is reminiscent of the young schoolboy puffing up his chest and flexing his arm muscle in a futile attempt to impress the most sought-after girl in class. Authoritarian regimes, in general, fail in their handling of epidemics despite their prolific use of propaganda and the widespread misinformation campaigns they employ to sustain the ruling elites. It just may turn out in 2020 that a small bug was all that was needed to stall President Xi Jinping’s inflated hegemonic goals, as he lacks the real muscle found in the depth and breadth of a free society.    

Admittedly, Xi has amassed a wealth of power since he assumed office in 2012. But is it that impressive? He possesses a vast collection of titles and has more accolades attached to his name than any leader since Mao Tse-tung, yet Xi still finds himself struggling to maintain a tight hold over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the population, in general. Xi’s response to the human and financial damage caused by the virus, like that of the young besmitten schoolboy, is to exhibit how strong he is in front of the world and thus, to capture its adoration. After all, to a Communist, the ends justify the means. He stands before the media when greeting World Health Organization officials but betrays his weakness by hiding behind the opposing factions he names in charge of the day-to-day virus eradication efforts. They are there if needed to take the fall and preserve his legacy.

Despite the disruption to the world economy and the people suffering immensely from Covid-19, few analysts believe Xi will be ousted from office over the government’s delayed response or its covert handling of the epidemic. Beijing’s intense crackdown on the free flow of information was swift and harsh as is common among authoritarian regimes. The state media left little doubt this past month among Chinese that talking about the virus could be more dangerous than catching the illness itself. Since the outbreak more than one citizen journalist has disappeared or been quarantined while healthy. A more interesting discussion ensues among analysts questioning the long-term impact of the virus on the Chinese economy, the legitimacy of the CCP, and Xi’s legacy.

At a time when China’s current “paramount leader” is hoping to Anxiety: Anxiety can cause a lot cialis for cheap of other problems related to your genital health. And viagra samples in canada due to their consistent hard-work and countless hours of study, the male impotence drugs online are available to all the organs of the body. Therefore decision vardenafil generic was made to produce a stronger and longer erection. You should also collect information about the product’s transdermal intake of the ingredients. viagra canada no prescription achieve the goals laid out in the latest 10-Year Economic Plan, he instead faces headlines such as “Corona Virus Weakens China’s Powerful Propaganda Machine,” “Corona Virus has Potential to Shake Up China Trade More than Tariffs,” and others concerning the recent presidential election in Taiwan such as “When Election Interference [by China] Fails.” These headlines come at the tail end of the Hong Kong demonstrations which were quelled temporarily by fear of catching the Covid-19 virus from other protesters. With the looming downturn in economic output in 2020 and many hundreds of millions of Chinese still awaiting permission to return to work Xi must find a way to create a balance between the CCP’s critical need for absolute power and political stability and that of the population’s rising expectations for economic prosperity and good health care. The facade Xi fabricated and cleverly spun through his propaganda machine has gaping holes in it. Ones that may be too large for him to fill. 

A significant fault line not mentioned often is the impact of the virus on President Xi’s reunification plans with Taiwan. Earlier this year Xi and the CCP suffered an important defeat when China failed to stop Taiwanese President Tsai Ying-wen from winning a second term in office. The CCP employed an extensive, multi-faceted plan in support of the Kuomintang (KMT) Party candidate Han Kuo-yu.  Beijing paid media outlets in Taiwan to promote Han and spread disinformation, or half-truths, throughout social media platforms. Chinese cyber-attacks increased in areas holding sensitive Taiwan government information. Yet, despite these aggressive actions, China failed to secure a win for its favored candidate. President Tsai won 57.1% of the general election vote in January with the highest vote count in election history. Her Democratic Progressive Party retained control of the Legislative Yuan, too. That doesn’t bode well for Xi’s reunification plan. 

Taiwanese witnessed the overt Chinese crackdown throughout the months of demonstrations in Hong Kong. It left a bitter taste to be supplanted only by experiencing Chinese election interference in its presidential elections in January. Today images of the ongoing suppression of the Chinese population and squelching of legitimate information about the corona virus outbreak play over social media. People noticed. Taiwanese civil society mobilized earlier this year to defeat the CCP’s disinformation campaign against President Tsai. The United States shared information and cyber expertise with Taipei. Even Facebook worked to track and check viral posts to ensure that Chinese trolls were caught before the election. Government and private sector gathered and together defeated Xi Jinping in what may evolve as the 2020 lynchpin to his legacy.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government.  Each Friday,, she presents key analyses regrading China.

Illustration: Pixabay

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Sanctuary Cities Protect Criminals

There is an increasing trend, supported largely in progressive-run cities, counties and states, to not cooperate with federal officials in dealing with the crime wave due to felonies committed by illegal immigrants. 

The Heritage Foundation reports that:

“Non-citizens constitute only about 7 percent of the U.S. population. Yet the latest data from the Justice Department’s Bureau of Justice Statistics reveals that non-citizens accounted for nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of all federal arrests in 2018…Non-citizens accounted for 24 percent of all federal drug arrests, 25 percent of all federal property arrests, and 28 percent of all federal fraud arrests. In 2018, a quarter of all federal drug arrests took place in the five judicial districts along the U.S.-Mexico border. This reflects the ongoing activities of Mexican drug cartels. Last year, Mexican citizens accounted for 40 percent of all federal arrests. In fact, more Mexicans than U.S. citizens were arrested on charges of committing federal crimes in 2018. Migrants from Central American countries are also accounting for a larger share of federal arrests, going from a negligible 1 percent of such arrests in 1998 to 20 percent today.”

Sanctuary policies produce two substantial results for the legal inhabitants of a jurisdiction. First, they increase costs, and second, they protect portions of the criminal population.

Despite the fiction disseminated by sanctuary policy supporters, there is no mass roundup of illegals that require the countermeasure of sanctuary protection.  Sanctuary policies primarily serve to protect criminals apprehended by local law enforcement agencies from being handed over to the federal government for deportation proceedings.

The Center for Immigration Studies notes that:

“Numerous cities, counties, and states have laws, ordinances, regulations, resolutions, policies, or other practices that obstruct immigration enforcement and shield criminals from the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency (ICE) — either by refusing to or prohibiting agencies from complying with ICE detainers, imposing unreasonable conditions on detainer acceptance, denying ICE access to interview incarcerated aliens, or otherwise impeding communication or information exchanges between their personnel and federal immigration officers. A detainer is the primary tool used by ICE to gain custody of criminal aliens for deportation. It is a notice to another law enforcement agency that ICE intends to assume custody of an alien and includes information on the alien’s previous criminal history, immigration violations, and potential threat to public safety or security.”

According to ICE , the agency relies on the exchange of This means that taking Kamagra tablets can bring lost sexual pleasure back levitra samples on the way. Also, It can be interact with certain other medications (such as alpha blockers), and it does not provide any negative side effects. buying viagra in canada What should I avoid? Avoid getting cheap levitra 20mg up too fast from a lying or sitting position. Rather than other ED cipla india viagra medications, kamagra are relatively lower in prices and higher in the quality. information with its law enforcement agency (LEA,) and the use of detainers. In many cases, these individuals pose a demonstrable threat to communities. By lodging detainers against those individuals, ICE seeks to ensure that removable aliens are turned over to its custody at the conclusion of their criminal detention rather than being released into the community where many abscond or re-offend. For example, it’s known that one group of criminal aliens that ICE has researched has a recidivism rate of 46%.

An ICE detainer requests that the receiving law enforcement agency notify ICE as early as practicable before the alien is released from custody; and that maintains custody of the alien for a period not to exceed 48 hours beyond the time he/she would have otherwise been released to allow ICE to assume custody.  

In some cases, state or local laws, ordinances, or policies restrict or prohibit cooperation with ICE. In other cases, jurisdictions willfully decline ICE detainers, and refuse to even provide timely notification to ICE of an alien’s release. The results are the same: criminal aliens are released into the community where they may potentially re-offend and harm members of the public.

The individuals ICE seeks detainers on are dangerous, criminal aliens illegally present in the United States that local jurisdictions have deemed important enough to arrest and prosecute for their crimes. Yet, these same jurisdictions are preventing ICE’s lawful, congressionally-mandated enforcement efforts to enforce the laws its officers and agents are sworn to uphold, against the exact same criminals. Instead of enforcement actions taking place within the safe confines of local jails, ICE is forced to increase its presence in corresponding communities as a result of these sanctuary policies. 

 Indeed, a review of the New York City and Westchester County ICE coverage area is quite revealing.

 Last fiscal year, ICE lodged 7,526 detainers from its New York  Field Office. The criminals against whom these detainers were lodged accounted for 17,873 criminal convictions, and another 6,500 criminal charges. The crimes these individuals had been convicted or charged with included 200 homicides, over 500 robberies, over 1,000 sexual offenses, over 1,000 weapons offenses, over 3,500 assaults, and over 1,500 DUIs.

The statistics clearly indicate that the presence of illegal alien criminals is a clear and substantial danger to U.S. communities.  The perpetrators of these crimes are not worthy individuals seeking to be part of the American dream.  The supporters of sanctuary city policies provide no logical, moral, or valid reasons for their actions which encourage, support and maintain the presence of these predators in American communities.

Photo: ICE

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Space Priorities

Secretary of the Air Force Barbara M. Barrett said Feb. 27 that successfully launching the Space Force while also modernizing the Air Force, strengthening ties with allies and partners and ensuring a culture of trust for Airmen and their families are the priorities that will drive the service into a successful future.

“Our priorities can be summed up simply,” Barrett told an audience of more than 2,000 Airmen, industry officials and retirees at the Air Force Association’s Air Warfare Symposium.

“We need a modern, smart, connected, strong, Air and Space Force to deter and defend against aggression and to preserve precious freedom and peace,” Barrett said in one of her most high-profile appearances since becoming secretary. “We have that in the United States Department of the Air Force today.”

Space systems underpin virtually every weapon system in the Defense Department’s arsenal, a senior DOD official told Congress.

 But many systems were designed for an era when there were fewthreats in space, Dr. James H. Anderson, performing the duties of deputy undersecretary of defense for policy, said today at a hearing of the House Armed Services Committee’s strategic forces subcommittee. This is not the case today, he added, as China and Russia both seek to be able to deny the United States and its allies the advantages of space.

China and Russia are developing sophisticated on-orbit capabilities and an array of counter-space weapons capable of targeting nearly every class of U.S. space asset, Anderson told the House panel. They are expanding their space capabilities, he said, and have created military space forces that they are training and equipping to prevail in future crises and conflicts.

The United States is responding by “transforming its space enterprise, fielding resilient architectures, developing space warfighting expertise and working closely with allies in combined operations,” he said.

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The fiscal year 2021 defense budget request provides $18 billion for space programs, including $111 million to support stand-up of the U.S. Space Force, Anderson said. It also provides funding for the new space combatant command — U.S. Space Command — and the Space Development Agency, which will accelerate the development and fielding of military space capabilities necessary to ensure U.S. and allied technological and military advantages.

In his written testimony, Anderson said the United States is actively pursuing opportunities with allies and partners to build combined space operations and interoperable, or even integrated, architecture. The flagship of this integration is the Combined Space Operations Center at Vandenberg Air Force Base, California, with embedded British, Canadian and Australian exchange personnel working side by side with U.S. personnel.

“We have recently added Germany and France to the Combined Space Operations initiative,” he noted.

Space Force Gen. John W. “Jay” Raymond, chief of space operations, also testified.

“We can no longer assume that our space superiority is a given,” he said. “If deterrence fails, we must be ready to fight for space superiority.”

U.S. Space Command, along with the Space Force will deter aggression from conflict and do so from a position of strength, the general said. “Accordingly,” he added, “we will remain ready to defend U.S. and allied freedom of action in space. We will deliver space combat power for the joint and coalition force and we’re going to develop joint warfighters to serve in, to and from the space domain.”

Photo: Secretary of the Air Force Barbara Barrett delivers remarks during the Air Force Association’s Air Warfare Symposium in Orlando, Fla., Feb. 27, 2020. The three-day event is a professional development forum that offers the opportunity for Department of Defense personnel to participate in forums, speeches, seminars and workshops with defense industry professionals. (U.S. Air Force photo by Wayne Clark)

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Getting Infrastructure Done Quickly

One of the few areas of bipartisan agreement is the need to update America’s infrastructure.

The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) notes that the condition of the nation’s  dams, drinking water equipment, waste systems, levees, transportation, bridges, waterways, ports, rail, roads, mass transit, parks, schools, and energy is a lowly D+. ASCE estimates that failure to properly maintain the nation’s infrastructure is holding back the creation of hundreds of thousands of jobs and reducing annual incomes by $3,400 per household.

In 2017, The U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee found that “America’s infrastructure has fallen in rank from 6th in the world to 25th in just the past 5 years…aging transportation infrastructure is expected to increase the cost of business in America by an estimated $430 billion in the next decade.” 32% of American roads are in poor or mediocre condition, and 25% of bridges are rated as structurally deficient.  The American Automobile Association (AAA) notes that many of the 30,000 deaths that occur on U.S. highways are “attributable to the direct result of inadequate lighting, poor signage or outdated road design that might have been prevented by fixing unsafe roads.”

Despite general agreement on the need for action, progress has been slow for decades. The White House believes an onerous review mandate, an outgrowth of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) passed a half-century ago is a significant part of the problem. According to the Trump Administration, “complying with the regulatory requirements has become unnecessarily complex and time consuming and has delayed important infrastructure projects.  NEPA requires that Federal agencies evaluate the potential environmental impacts of major projects such as roads and bridges, rail and water infrastructure, or conventional and renewable energy projects. Given the importance of infrastructure investment to economic growth, President Trump directed the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) to modernize the Federal government’s NEPA regulations. The CEQ has issued a notice of proposed rulemaking detailing its modernization plans.”

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Some have expressed concern, believing that without the rigorous and time-consuming process, there exists the possibility of adverse environmental impacts.  The Administration states that it is not abolishing environmental reviews, merely streamlining the process.

The basic thrust for NEPA modernization is that it will reduce the average time to complete an environmental impact statement. Project sponsors must often acquire approval from various agencies on permitting decisions in order to advance their project. NEPA serves as the umbrella statute for coordinating environmental reviews. In the past, reviews for projects involving multiple permits were conducted sequentially instead of concurrently and in some cases there was insufficient coordination among agencies. CEQ’s proposed NEPA updates includes codifying aspects of President Trump’s One Federal Decision policy, which streamlines  coordination and communication between Federal agencies and sets a two-year average goal for completion of environmental reviews for major infrastructure projects. The Federal government will still perform all environmental reviews as the law requires, just now with greater efficiency.

According to the federal website Performance.gov “Improving the Federal environmental review and authorization process will enable infrastructure project sponsors to start construction sooner, create jobs earlier, and fix our Nation’s infrastructure faster while also ensuring that a project’s potential impacts on environmental and community resources are considered and managed throughout the planning process. Infrastructure investment strengthens our economic platform, makes America more competitive, creates millions of jobs, increases wages for American workers, and reduces the costs of goods and services for American families and consumers… Many infrastructure needs were supposed to be addressed by all that ($787 billion) Stimulus money, but most were not.  In some cases, dollars were spent foolishly, on projects such as bike lanes, instead of on major, urgently needed transportation needs. Other examples, cited in a Fiscal Times report: $2 million was spent on a ‘replica railroad,’ a tourist attraction, not a transportation need in Nevada, and $1 million was spent on beefing up security on cruise ships.”

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Hysteria vs. Facts in the Green Movement

After arriving at the Golden Globes Awards ceremony aboard their private jets and stretch limousines, the show business glitterati presumed to lecture the world on climate change.

Even Vogue, a fashion magazine that has political pretensions, .noted “That for all the talk about climate change and the need for action, an awards show itself must have a massive carbon footprint … There are the private jets, the black cars, the teams of people, the energy required to actually stage the event, the waste… and, of course, the red carpet. We were surprised to find that climate change was rarely a consideration when it came to stars’ looks for the night: Hundreds of celebrities arrived in brand-new, custom, and never-before-worn gowns, and most of those outfits will never be seen on the red carpet again. (The frenzied process of getting those looks to Los Angeles, often at the very last minute, is another thing entirely.)”

The hypocrisy was only part of the problem.  As has become far too common in discussions about global warming, (you may recall several decades ago the same influencers were calling it global cooling) actual facts were ignored in pursuit of ideological goals.  Much was made of the horrific Australian brush fires, a terrifying occurrence which has caused many deaths to people and wildlife.  Largely ignored in media discussions about the tragedy is that there is significant reason to believe that malicious and careless actions are responsible, not larger environmental factors.

7NewsSydney reports that

“The fact that the bushfires were deliberately started and have nothing to do with man-made climate change hasn’t prevented that being the dominant narrative….Last week, Bernie Sanders blamed those who were ‘delaying action on climate change’ for ‘the blood-red sky and unbreathable air in Australia because of raging forest fires.’

Paul Warson, writing in Summit News reports that “Authorities in Australia have arrested close to 200 people for deliberately starting the bushfires that have devastated the country, yet the media and celebrities continue to blame “climate change” for the disaster…A total of 183 people have been arrested by police in Queensland, NSW, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania for lighting bushfires over the last few months, figures obtained by news agency AAP show. In New South Wales, 24 people were arrested for arson, risking prison sentences of up to 25 years. In Queensland, police concluded that 103 of the fires had been deliberately lit, with 98 people, 67 of them juveniles, having been identified as the culprits. ‘The link between arsonists and the deadly fires that devastate Australia every summer is well known and well documented, with the rate of deliberately lit fires escalating rapidly during the school holiday period,” reports Breitbart’s Simon Kent.’”

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There is an intense link between the politically-motivated climate change movement and the left-leaning major media. The Daily Caller reported in September that . that “More than 200 media outlets and journalists partnered together with activists to coordinate and hype climate change news before the 2019 U.N. climate summit.

Two of the largest media outlets … did not disclose their role in the project to their readers, a Daily Caller News Foundation review found. Some of the biggest media outlets in the country, such as CBS and Bloomberg, joined the effort. But others, … declined to participate in a project they reportedly feared appeared activist in nature. More troubling, a number of the major outlets that joined did not disclose participation to their readers. In addition to CBS and Bloomberg, the effort, called Covering Climate Now, involved BuzzFeed News, HuffPost, The Daily Beast, the Center for Public Integrity, Newsweek, Rolling Stone, Slate, Vanity Fair and The Weather Channel, among many others. When asked by the Daily Caller News Foundation, the lack of disclosure was criticized by the Society of Professional Journalists.”

In so many ways, young Greta Thunberg is both the face of and the description of the climate change alarmist movement.  She has no credentials (she just turned 17), has no tolerance for anyone that disagrees with her scientifically uninformed opinions, and yet has been lionized.  She has addressed Congress, the British Parliament, and the United Nations. She has been named Time Magazine’s 2019 Person of the Year.

Illustration: Greta Thunberg (Pixabay)