Month: December 2014

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Quick Analysis

Will new EPA regs cost jobs?

How clean can America’s air get while still keeping energy affordable for consumers and not result in extensive job loss?

EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy has proposed   amending national ozone pollution standards. Her plan would revise the current standard of 75 parts per billion (the concentration of ozone pollution in the air we breathe) to a standard in the range of 65-70 parts per billion, while taking public comment on a level as low as 60. Across the U.S. 558 counties would be in violation of the new rule. The EPA believes the measure will cost about $17 billion by 2025, leading manufacturers to state that this may be the most costly move ever taken. The concept was originally proposed in 2011 but delayed by the White house for political reasons until after the election cycle.

The concept has triggered substantial dissent. U.S. Chamber of Commerce Senior Vice President for the Environment, Technology, and Regulatory Affairs Bill Kovacs noted that “The EPA’s proposal to lower the ozone standard will have potentially damaging economic consequences for this country. This stricter standard will lead to more nonattainment designations across the United States, which translates into restrictions on expansion, permitting delays, increased costs to industry, and an impact to transportation planning. This more stringent standard will also strike at the heart of those areas that are just beginning to appreciate the economic benefits of planning for and building new facilities, expanding existing ones, and developing their communities.”
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According to NERA Economic Consulting the stricter ozone regulation could reduce U.S. GDP by $270 billion per year and $3.4 trillion from 2017 to 2040, resulting in 2.9 million fewer jobs or job equivalents per year on average through 2040.

Ideally, of course, America’s air would be pristine, resembling what it was in when the U.S. was a sparsely settled nation before industrialization and the development of the power grid. The question is how close to that condition can the nation without turning off the lights and irreparably damaging the economy.

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China’s military aggressiveness cited in new report

The New York Analysis of Policy & Government continues its exploration of the 2014 report of the U.S.-China  Economic and Security Review Commission. http://www.uscc.gov/

“During 2014, China’s military modernization continued at a fast pace, creating additional challenges for the United States and its allies, and China’s neighbors. Most notably, China conducted its first test of a new hypersonic missile vehicle, which could enable China to conduct kinetic strikes anywhere in the world within minutes to hours, and performed its second flight test of a new road-mobile intercontinental missile that will be able to strike the entire continental United States and could carry up to 10 independently maneuverable warheads.

“Meanwhile, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) increased its inventory of modern submarines, surface ships, and combat aircraft while upgrading its legacy platforms with new weapon systems.

“In the maritime domain, the PLA Navy continued its transformation from a coastal force into a technologically advanced navy capable of projecting power throughout the Asia Pacific. Since the Commission’s 2013 Annual Report, the PLA Navy has expanded its presence in the East and South China Seas and for the first time begun combat patrols in the Indian Ocean. Additionally, China’s first aircraft carrier in January conducted its first long-distance training deployment.

“The nature of the deployment suggests China is experimenting with multiple types of carrier formations, including those resembling U.S. combined expeditionary groups.
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“China’s growing confidence in its military capabilities has emboldened Beijing to aggressively advance its territorial ambitions. Since approximately 2009, China has increasingly used coercive military and economic measures to assert control over its territorial claims in the East and South China Seas. Since late 2013, however, China has been more willing to advance its sovereignty claims without seeking to justify its actions as responses to perceived provocations by rival claimants. The three most significant manifestations of this new, even more assertive turn are China’s establishment of an Air Defense Identification Zone in the East China Sea; China’s relocation of an oil rig to waters disputed by Vietnam in the South China Sea; and China’s ongoing attempts to prevent the Philippines from resupplying its military outpost at Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea…

“Perhaps of most concern is Beijing’s apparent willingness to provoke incidents at sea and in the air that could lead to a major conflict as China’s maritime and air forces expand their operations beyond China’s immediate periphery. China already has initiated dangerous encounters at sea on several occasions. In December 2013, a U.S. Navy ship was forced to maneuver to avoid a collision with a PLA Navy ship that had intentionally stopped in front of it. Both ships were operating in international waters. Later in 2014, a China Coast Guard ship rammed Vietnamese government ships following China’s placement of a state-owned deep-sea drilling platform inside Vietnam’s exclusive economic zone, and a Chinese fighter flew within 30 feet of a U.S. Navy reconnaissance aircraft international airspace.

“This pattern of unilateral Chinese actions in sensitive and disputed areas is raising tensions in the Asia Pacific and alienating many of its neighbors. China’s deepening economic, diplomatic, and military influence on its geographic periphery has led its neighboring countries to reconsider their security strategies and relationships, particularly those involving the United States. As the United States seeks to reaffirm its alliances and boost its security links with associates in East Asia and Oceania, it must contend with China’s competing vision of a China-led regional security architecture.

“This uncertain environment is further complicated by China’s support for North Korea, which continues to pose the most serious threat to East Asia security.”

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Quick Analysis

China’s unfair Trade Policies

The  U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission has released its 2014 Annual Report to Congress.  In two crucial areas—economic and military affairs, it paints a disturbing picture.  In today’s report, we present the Commission’s summary of the challenges represented by Beijing’s trade policies.

China’s unfair practices occur in a number of economic spheres.  Last March, The  World Trade Organization decided that China broke trade rules by limiting the export of rare-earth metals in an effort to give their domestic manufacturers a key advantage. The practice also has national security implications, since many of the resources in question are key elements in defense industry manufacturing.

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American manufacturers already operate under a number of handicaps imposed by Washington. China’s policies are delivering a further and potentially decisive blow.

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Announcements

Larry Allison, R.I.P.

SPECIAL NOTE: AS A RESULT OF LARRY ALLISON’S UNTIMELY PASSING, THE BRIEF BREAK IN TAPING THE VERNUCCIO/ALLISON REPORT, WHICH HAD BEEN SCHEDULED IN ORDER TO UPGRADE EQUIPMENT, WILL BE EXTENDED UNTIL JANUARY 14.

It is with the most profound sorrow that I must inform you of the passing of Larry L. Allison, co-host of the Vernuccio/Allison Report.

Larry had worked for NYC’s telecommunications agency, and spent a great deal of time at the 9/11 site in the aftermath of the attack.  As a result, he incurred massive health problems, including bladder cancer, pulmonary disorders, and leukemia. These disorders led to his demise on the morning of December 16 at Mt. Sinai Hospital, where he had been undergoing intensive treatment for breathing issues.

Larry had served in both Democrat and Republican administrations in local government,  eventually rising to the level of Deputy Director for Disabled Services. Indeed, serving the special camp for disabled children. He remained in contact with many from that period in his life, and took pride in their achievements.

Larry was one of the most brilliant and loving individuals around, and truly passionate about his devotion to America’s founding ideals. His convictions were the result of a life spent in public service, his unquenchable curiosity, his diligent research, and a fearless devotion to intellectual honesty.

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He became deeply troubled by the course government had taken on the city, state, and federal levels, and diligently sought to restore common sense, integrity and Constitutional adherence.

He became a fixture in New York’s politics, managing, advising and/or assisting in the campaigns of a number of candidates. Party was not an issue; whether the candidate was Republican or Democrat, if Larry felt they were sincere, had good ideas, and would follow the ideals that made the nation great, he would help.

Many across America first knew him as the co-host of the Vernuccio/Allison Report radio program, intially broadcast on WVOX Saturday mornings and eventually picked up by the amfm247.com network.  The shows are also broadcast on regular radio in Tampa, Florida; Las Vegas, Nevada; Boulder, Colorado; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Lancaster, PA; and Macon, Georgia. He was noted for his well-informed, well-documented, and no-holds barred positions on the key issues of the day.

Larry is survived by his wife, Jocelyn, and daughters Amanda and Alynda. He remained close to his brothers Ron and Don throughout his life, as well as their spouses, and his many nieces and nephews. He is also survived by goddaughters Laureena and Amanda, and many step-children and step-grandchildren through Jocelyn. All deeply loved him. He had a long list of close friends across the nation from all walks of life.

 No better individual ever graced a microphone as thoughtfully and sincerely as did our beloved Larry Allison. He will be truly and greatly missed, but never forgotten.

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Quick Analysis

Larry Allison, R.I.P.

It is with the most profound sorrow that I must inform you of the passing of Larry L. Allison, co-host of the Vernuccio/Allison Report.

Larry had worked for NYC’s Office of Emergency Management, and spent a great deal of time at the 9/11 site in the aftermath of the attack.  As a result, he incurred massive health problems, including bladder cancer, pulmonary disorders, and leukemia. These disorders led to his demise on the morning of December 16 at Mt. Sinai Hospital, where he had been undergoing intensive treatment for breathing issues.

Larry had served in both Democrat and Republican administrations in local government,  eventually rising to the level of Deputy Director for Disabled Services. Indeed, serving the disabled was a life-long avocation for him. He began his career in that cause as a counselor at an upstate camp for disabled children. He remained in contact with many from that period in his life, and took pride in their achievements.

Larry was one of the most brilliant and loving individuals around, and truly passionate about his devotion to America’s founding ideals. His convictions were the result of a life spent in public service, his unquenchable curiosity, his diligent research, and a fearless devotion to intellectual honesty.

He became deeply troubled by the course government had taken on the city, state, and federal levels, and diligently sought to restore common sense, integrity and Constitutional adherence.
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He became a fixture in New York’s politics, managing, advising and/or assisting in the campaigns of a number of candidates. Party was not an issue; whether the candidate was Republican or Democrat, if Larry felt they were sincere, had good ideas, and would follow the ideals that made the nation great, he would help.

Many across America first knew him as the co-host of the Vernuccio/Allison Report radio program, intially broadcast on WVOX Saturday mornings and eventually picked up by the amfm247.com network.  The shows are also broadcast on regular radio in Tampa, Florida; Las Vegas, Nevada; Boulder, Colorado; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Lancaster, PA; and Macon, Georgia. He was noted for his well-informed, well-documented, and no-holds barred positions on the key issues of the day.

Larry is survived by his wife, Jocelyn, and daughters Amanda and Alynda. He remained close to his brothers Ron  and Don throughout his life, as well as their spouses, and his many nieces and nephews. He is also survived by goddaughters Laureena and Amanda, and many step-children and step-grandchildren through Jocelyn. All deeply loved him. He had a long list of close friends across the nation from all walks of life.

He will be truly and greatly missed, but never forgotten.

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Quick Analysis

White House Foreign Policy Reversal Unlikely

The White House is making much of its decision to return one hundred tanks to Eastern Europe in response to Russian aggressiveness on land, sea and in the air on that continent.  It is an emphatic statement on its extraordinarily foolish decision, earlier in 2014, to withdraw all U.S. tanks from Europe. It also glosses over the Administration’s failure to take the nonlethal step that could have truly halted Putin’s return to the Cold War: opening up American federal lands to energy exploitation, and ending the EPA’s war on coal. These acts, which would have also helped western consumers, would have essentially stopped the flow of funds Putin needs to continue expanding his massive armed forces.

This timid and minor reversal is deeply similar to the return of at least some American forces, mostly trainers, special forces, and Air Force missions, to Iraq to combat ISIS. Just as the withdrawal of American tanks was a factor in Moscow’s decision that it could safely conquer Crimea without fear of a western response, so too the premature withdrawal of American forces from Iraq directly precipitated the rise of ISIS.

Will the President, chastened by his complete and overwhelming foreign policy and military strategy failures across the globe, finally begin to reverse course? Currently, it appears that while some minor adjustments may be made, the likelihood of a thorough White House rethinking of its international and military strategies appears unlikely.

American forces are still scheduled to depart from Afghanistan, although more will be left behind than previously planned. Nevertheless, expect the Taliban, the architects of the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, to make a significant comeback there as a result.

There is little that can be done to undo the absurd decision to depose Gaddafi, the Libyan dictator who had genuinely renounced both terrorism and his own nuclear program. His nonthreatening rule has been replaced by a state in danger of becoming an al Qaeda subsidiary.

The rapidly growing military influence of Russia in Europe, China in Asia, and Iran in the Middle East has been greatly facilitated by the White House’s reduction of funds for U.S. defense, its increasing estrangement from allies, and its reluctance to employ substantive diplomatic responses to threats.

Consider these examples:

  • Come January, as a result of the shrinking Navy, there will be no U.S. aircraft carrier on patrol in East Asia for the first time since World War 2 ended.
  • There has been no U.S. response to the growing influence of Russia, China, and Iran in Latin America.
  • The U.S. defense budget is still strained. A key result of that is the loss of key personnel.
  • The President still opposes implantation of an adequate anti-missile system.
  • The Administration has given Iran yet another extension in the nuclear arms talks, allowing that nation time to develop its atomic arsenal.
  • No firm response has yet been made to Russian and Chinese cyber-attacks on U.S. computer systems.
  • No significant protective measures of American electrical and computer infrastructure have been taken.

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The White continues to take positions which harm our allies, as it did to the United Kingdom in the New START talks, Poland in the ABM decision, and Israel in issues related to Palestinian negotiations.

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Washington should not place world needs above U.S. constituents

While Americans have always had an open heart and an open wallet for people throughout the world, it has always been understood that this practice depended upon the continuation of a strong, safe, and prosperous United States.

Over the past several years, Administration officials have adopted a disturbing mindset that the needs of the world have equal priority with those of their domestic constituents, who pay their salaries and place them in office.

The nation is already carrying an $18 trillion dollar debt (70% of which was accumulated during the Obama presidency) that gets larger each and every year despite taking in record-setting revenue from some of the highest taxes among advanced countries. Opening the doors to illegal immigrants who are needy is simply an unaffordable luxury.

This “America last” concept was clearly seen during the President’s recent trip to Asia.  The environmental pact agreed to with Beijing committed the U.S. to significant and costly goals, but placed no equivalent burden on China.

It can be seen in the long-term acquiescence of trade practices which place American companies at a competitive disadvantage, both at home and abroad.

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The Federation for American Immigration Reform estimates that “the annual costs of illegal immigration at the federal, state and local level to be about $113 billion; nearly $29 billion at the federal level and $84 billion at the state and local level.”

It can be seen in the conduct of our foreign affairs, which has lessened U.S. defenses at a time when Russia, China, North Korea, Iran and terrorists organizations are greatly expanding their military prowess.

It can be seen in the U.S. surrender of its long-standing and utterly impartial administration of the internet.

A United States that is not prosperous, productive and safe cannot be an international benefactor. Elected officials, who are the employees of their constituents, do not have the legal or moral right to place the needs of Americans behind or even merely equivalent to the rest of the world.

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Senator Feinstein’s Incoherent Hearing

This week, on the same day that doctors were informing the wife and daughter of yet another victim of the 9/11 attack on New York’s World Trade Center that, as a possible result of exposure to toxins at the site he was expected to succumb to an untimely death within several days, Senator Diane Feinstein (D-CA) was conducting hearings and releasing a report jeopardizing both the efforts and the safety of those who are diligently working to prevent another such assault.

The time has come to question the monumental incoherence of those who weaken the nation by reducing key defense programs, withdrawing American forces from hotspots, or handcuffing those who seek to gain the information needed to prevent another terrorist assault.  Many of the same individuals in government and the media who scream and protest about nonlethal interrogation practices such as waterboarding have said far less in reaction to the beheadings, rapes, and wholescale  murders committed by those who seek every opportunity to kill as many innocent Americans as they can.

Their so-called moral arguments are baseless.  There is general agreement that eliminating terrorist leaders, including traitorous U.S. citizens, by drone attacks are justified (and it is indeed appropriate.) But why then do they question nonlethal interrogation practices that do not cause any permanent harm? Are their sensibilities so delicate that they would prefer to chance another 9/11 rather than to authorize harsh questioning?

Any government official who would prefer to jeopardize innocent lives rather than permit harsh but non-injurious interrogation is unfit for office. The fact that Feinstein’s hearing is being accompanied by the release of the names of those involved further impairs the ability to keep Americans safe, and punishes those who are merely seeking to keep the U.S. secure. Intelligence officials and other absolutely refute Feinstein’s unsupported contention that these interrogations did not yield vital information.
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There is a foul stench coming from the timing of the Feinstein Senate hearings, suddenly scheduled as they were to coincide with the House questioning of Jonathon Gruber, an Obamacare architect who famously revealed that the passage of the Affordable Care Act legislation was linked to what he perceived to be the “stupidity” of the American people. The highly offensive history of Obamacare’s passage—with provisions hidden from the American citizenry and shielded from public discussion—is a continuing embarrassment both for the President and his party.  The House’s Gruber hearings add an exclamation point to that.  Feinstein’s sensationalist meeting concerning interrogation practices can easily be seen as a desperate means to divert attention.

And therein lays the ultimate problem: for far too long, too many elected officials, particularly those of the Obama regime, have put their party’s political aspirations, and their intense devotion to a hard left philosophy, far above the good of the nation.

The harm resulting from that is exacerbated by the absurd fantasy world of far too many in the media who fail to report or acknowledge the dire threats facing America, both from terrorism and from the increasing military power and aggressiveness of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

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Is Amnesty affordable?

Most Americans understand that the resources of government at all levels are limited, and there is a point at which increasing taxes becomes counterproductive, since it takes dollars out of the economy, limiting employment opportunities and commerce, and eventually resulting in less revenue.

The Obama Administration is moving forcefully to allow vast numbers of illegal immigrants to remain in the United States. The salient question is:  How does this help Americans, both citizens and legal residents?

Last year, The Heritage Foundation researched the issue and found that the cost of direct benefits, means-tested welfare, public education, and population-based services will be deeply burdensome to already over-taxed citizens:

“If enacted, amnesty would be implemented in phases. During the first or interim phase (which is likely to last 13 years), unlawful immigrants would be given lawful status but would be denied access to means-tested welfare and Obamacare. Most analysts assume that roughly half of unlawful immigrants work “off the books” and therefore do not pay income or FICA taxes. During the interim phase, these “off the books” workers would have a strong incentive to move to “on the books” employment. In addition, their wages would likely go up as they sought jobs in a more open environment. As a result, during the interim period, tax payments would rise and the average fiscal deficit among former unlawful immigrant households would fall.

“After 13 years, unlawful immigrants would become eligible for means-tested welfare and Obamacare. At that point or shortly thereafter, former unlawful immigrant households would likely begin to receive government benefits at the same rate as lawful immigrant households of the same education level. As a result, government spending and fiscal deficits would increase dramatically.

The final phase of amnesty is retirement. Unlawful immigrants are not currently eligible for Social Security and Medicare, but under amnesty they would become so. The cost of this change would be very large indeed.

  • As noted, at the current time (before amnesty), the average unlawful immigrant household has a net deficit (benefits received minus taxes paid) of $14,387 per household.
  • During the interim phase immediately after amnesty, tax payments would increase more than government benefits, and the average fiscal deficit for former unlawful immigrant households would fall to $11,455.
  • At the end of the interim period, unlawful immigrants would become eligible for means-tested welfare and medical subsidies under Obamacare. Average benefits would rise to $43,900 per household; tax payments would remain around $16,000; the average fiscal deficit (benefits minus taxes) would be about $28,000 per household.
  • Amnesty would also raise retirement costs by making unlawful immigrants eligible for Social Security and Medicare, resulting in a net fiscal deficit of around $22,700 per retired amnesty recipient per year.

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In terms of public policy and government deficits, an important figure is the aggregate annual deficit for all unlawful immigrant households. This equals the total benefits and services received by all unlawful immigrant households minus the total taxes paid by those households.

  • Under current law, all unlawful immigrant households together have an aggregate annual deficit of around $54.5 billion.
  • In the interim phase (roughly the first 13 years after amnesty), the aggregate annual deficit would fall to $43.4 billion.
  • At the end of the interim phase, former unlawful immigrant households would become fully eligible for means-tested welfare and health care benefits under the Affordable Care Act. The aggregate annual deficit would soar to around $106 billion.
  • In the retirement phase, the annual aggregate deficit would be around $160 billion. It would slowly decline as former unlawful immigrants gradually expire.”

James Walsh, writing in the Daily Signal, emphasized that:

“The president refuses to acknowledge that the United States is faltering under the weight of an escalating national debt of $40 trillion within a decade. He refuses to acknowledge that the national debt is increasing partly because of the escalating numbers of undocumented aliens — a ghost population that threatens the financial solvency of the United States.”

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How Divided is America?

How divided is America?

A Gallup poll  conducted in early 2014 found that Democrats and Republicans agree that the economy is the most important concern, but differ after that. Republicans rated, following the economy and in order of importance, these as their key concerns: terrorism, defense, healthcare policy, education, taxes, social security and Medicare, crime, immigration, world affairs and poverty. Democrats chose education, poverty, healthcare policy, social security and Medicare, distribution of wealth, crime, the environment, terrorism, and gun policy.

Within specific issues, there has been a significant difference between the majority of voters and that of leadership.  While President Obama has identified allowing illegals to stay within the U.S.,  A Rasmussen poll   conducted earlier this month found that “only 40 percent of voters approve of the President’s plan to bypass Congress and allow nearly five million illegal immigrants to remain in this country legally…”

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Generally, those considered to be on the left favor an increasingly powerful federal government. But those on the right point out that despite the heavy intervention of federal authority and federal dollars into areas not envisioned by the Constitution’s framers, little progress has been made, specifically in areas having to do with poverty. Education, too, has not prospered under federal intervention.  They also raise the very serious concern that if the Constitution and the Bill of Right is not allowed to restrain Washington, what other rights reserved for the people may be imperiled?

That question may one of the most important of the era, and it sharply divides the electorate.